Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-130) Miami (+110)

loanDepot park is where the Miami Marlins (16-26) will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (20-23) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at -130 and Miami is at +110. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Shane Baz and Cal Quantrill.

The Rays have accumulated 61 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 39 balls out of the park. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .372 and have been called out on strikes 368 times, while being walked on 135 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are earning 4.0 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball. They have 162 runs batted in in addition to 352 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .244. They have earned a total of 170 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .310.

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The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 3.84 for the year (12th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 334 batters. Rays pitchers have allowed 62 home runs in addition to 174 total runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 123 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.51 as a team on the season. Tampa Bay has allowed 340 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 165 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.20.

The Rays have sent 140 relievers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 34 runners so far this year and 38.2% of them crossed home plate. They have tallied 12 saves this season and have blown 6 of 18 save opportunities. The Rays relievers have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and have come into the game in 41 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 23 holds so far this season (22nd in baseball). Rays pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 23 times and also have had 49 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have turned 72.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,480 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 2nd in MLB. The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for 1,160 putouts on the year, as well as 409 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 10th in baseball, and have 48 double plays.

Baz has thrown 162 innings and is sitting with 163 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Baz (10-7 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.77 while he has gone up against 667 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.83 (69 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.147. He has surrendered 131 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 55 walks.

The Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .382 and they are earning 4.12 runs per contest (17th in the league). They have 66 two-baggers, while taking a walk 127 times and putting up 173 runs. Miami has accumulated 40 home runs on the year as well as 165 runs batted in. They have struck out on 368 occasions (12th in the league) and have notched a total of 351 base hits. The Miami Marlins are sitting with an OBP of .309 as well as a team batting average of .244 on the campaign.

The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 244 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 5.54 (229 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 57 home runs and they allow 5.90 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.505 with a FIP of 4.86 as a team this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (330 strikeouts vs 176 bases on balls). They come in at 25th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 384.

Sitting with 35 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 21 holds and also 7 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 14 save opportunities and they have come away with 7 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 52 times in high leverage situations and on 46 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers hold an inherited score rate of 33.8% out of their 65 inherited base runners. They rank 26th in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 145 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

In 3,354 innings played, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (22nd in professional baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 31 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in baseball). The Marlins have 370 assists, 21 errors and have 1,118 putouts for the season.

Quantrill (45-38 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.21 ERA while allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and he has faced 3,222 hitters thus far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 353 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.330 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. Thus far in his career, Quantrill has conceded 757 hits while totaling 560 strikeouts in 755 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-130)

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