Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, July 4, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-130) Minnesota (+110)

The Minnesota Twins (40-45) host the Tampa Bay Rays (47-39) at Target Field on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Rays at -130 and the Twins are sitting at +110. The total is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Zack Littell and Bailey Ober.

The Rays have accumulated 131 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 97 balls out of the stadium. Tampa Bay is slugging .410 and have been called out on strikes 715 times, while taking a walk on 264 occasions. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.8 runs per game, which has them sitting at 7th in MLB. They have earned 389 RBI's and 750 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is .258. They have accumulated 410 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .324.

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The Rays have an earned run average of 3.73 on the season (11th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 706 hitters. Rays pitchers have allowed 112 home runs and also 342 total runs (13th in baseball). They have walked 235 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.20 as a unit this year. Tampa Bay has given up 680 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 319 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Rays have dispatched 272 relievers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 92 base runners on the season and 37.0% of those runners ended up scoring. They have earned 19 saves on the year and have blown 11 of their 30 chances to get a save. The Rays relievers have a save rate of 63.3% and have entered the game in 80 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 49 holds this season (15th in MLB). Rays relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 62 times and also have had 78 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 2,311 putouts so far this season, in addition to 796 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which ranks 11th in professional baseball, and they have turned 89 double plays. The Rays have converted 71.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,933 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 5th in baseball.

Littell has taken the hill for 520 innings and has racked up 437 strikeouts thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.86 (223 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.226. He has given up 522 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 116 free passes. Littell (31-28 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.80 and he has gone up against 2,171 batters in the major leagues.

Minnesota has knocked in 96 HRs so far this year as well as 343 RBIs. They have recorded 133 two-baggers, while walking 249 times as well as putting up 356 runs. The Minnesota Twins have tallied an on-base percentage of .310 in addition to a team batting average of .239 on the campaign. The Twins hold a slugging % of .392 and they score 4.19 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 703 occasions (17th in baseball) and have recorded 680 base hits.

The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.254 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.77 as a staff so far this season. They are sitting at 18th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 709. The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 372 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.19 (346 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (729 strikeouts vs 224 free passes). They have conceded 90 home runs and they surrender 4.50 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league).

Sitting with 85 save situations, the Twins have 54 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Minnesota has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 29 save chances and they have recorded 16 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 95 times in high leverage situations and on 61 occasions with runners on. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.8% out of their 87 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 24th in baseball with a save rate of 55.2%, and they have dispatched 287 relief pitchers onto the field this season.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 41 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in pro baseball). The Twins have accrued 626 assists, 43 errors and are sitting with 2,232 putouts so far this year. In 6,696 innings played, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (22nd in professional baseball).

Ober (29-27 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.01 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.50 and he has faced 2,298 opposing batters during his career. He has given up 251 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.124 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. During his career, Ober has allowed 509 hits while he has accumulated 558 punch outs in 563 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-130)

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