Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-275) Minnesota (+220)

The Tampa Bay Rays (48-39) are traveling to Target Field on Saturday where they will take on the Minnesota Twins (41-45). The line on this contest has Tampa Bay at -275 and Minnesota is priced at +220. The over/under comes in at 8. The men taking the mound are Taj Bradley and Connor Gillispie.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have tallied 416 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .323. The Rays have hit 133 doubles as a team and have hit 100 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 395 RBI's as well as 760 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is at .259. Tampa Bay is slugging .412 and have been rung up 722 times, while being walked on 264 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. Rays pitchers have conceded 115 home runs and 347 runs in total (12th in MLB). Tampa Bay has surrendered 690 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 324 earned runs. The Rays have a team ERA of 3.74 this year (12th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 723 batters. They have walked 238 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.21 as a team on the season.

The Rays have sent 275 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 93 base runners this year with 37.6% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 20 saves over the course of the season and have blown 11 out of their 31 chances to get a save. The Rays relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 64.5% and have entered the game in 81 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 49 holds so far this season (15th in the league). Rays bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 63 times as well as having 78 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,014 innings, which has them sitting 5th in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 2,338 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 803 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 12th in baseball, and have accumulated 90 double plays.

Bradley has pitched in 334 innings and has tallied 362 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Bradley (18-25 career record) holds a FIP of 4.70 and he has faced 1,428 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.77 (177 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.299. He has given up 312 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 122 free passes.

Minnesota has compiled 96 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 345 runs batted in. They have hit 134 two-baggers, while getting a free base 250 times and recording 358 runs. The Minnesota Twins have earned a team OBP of .309 as well as a batting average of .239 for the year. The Twins have a slugging percentage of .391 and they have an average of 4.16 runs per game (19th in the league). They have struck out on 712 instances (16th in baseball) and have earned 688 base hits.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.254 in addition to having a FIP of 3.78 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (734 strikeouts vs 227 walks). They are currently ranked 18th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 717. They have surrendered 91 homers and they yield 4.46 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 373 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.15 (347 earned runs yielded).

With 90 save situations, the Twins have earned 58 holds and also 13 blown saves. Minnesota has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 30 save opportunities and they have walked away with 17 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 100 times in high leverage situations in addition to 62 occasions with base runners. Minnesota relievers hold an inherited score rate of 36.0% of 89 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 23rd in baseball with a save percentage of 56.7%, and they have sent 292 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 42 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in the majors). The Twins have recorded 634 assists, 43 errors and have a total of 2,259 putouts on the season. Out of their 6,777 innings played, the Twins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.0% (22nd in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Gillispie has allowed 36 base knocks while he has tallied 31 strikeouts in 34 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 27 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.529 and having a FIP of 7.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.94 and he has gone up against 155 opposing batters thus far in his career. Gillispie (0-3 career mark) has earned a 7.15 ERA and has given up 9.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-275)

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