Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-144) Minnesota (+120)

Target Field is where the Minnesota Twins (41-45) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (48-39) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Tampa Bay at -144 and Minnesota is sitting at +120. The total is 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Drew Rasmussen and Joe Ryan.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 4.8 runs per contest, which puts them at 7th in MLB. They have accumulated 416 runs scored and hold an OBP of .323. The Rays have accumulated 133 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 100 balls out of the park. They have amassed 395 RBI's in addition to 760 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is at .259. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .412 and have been rung up 722 times, while drawing a walk on 264 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Rays pitchers have given up 115 home runs and 347 total runs (12th in the league). Tampa Bay has surrendered 690 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 324 earned runs. The Rays are sitting with a team ERA of 3.74 so far this year (12th in the league), and their staff has struck out 723 batters. They have walked 238 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a squad this year.

Rays relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 63 times and also have had 78 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 49 holds on the season (15th in baseball). The Rays relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 64.5% and have come into the game in 81 save situations. They have accumulated 20 saves for the year and have not converted 11 out of their 31 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 93 base runners so far this season and 37.6% of those players earned a run for their team. The Rays have sent 275 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with 2,338 putouts this year, in addition to 803 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which puts them in 12th in MLB, and have a total of 90 double plays. The Rays have turned 71.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,014 innings, which has them sitting at 5th in MLB.

Rasmussen has taken the hill for 397 innings and is sitting with 375 strikeouts in his career. Rasmussen (27-17 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 2.88 while he has gone up against 1,592 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.92 (129 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.070. He has surrendered 322 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 103 walks.

Minnesota has a total of 96 home runs on the campaign to go along with 345 runs batted in. They have hit 134 doubles, while walking 250 times and racking up 358 runs. The Minnesota Twins hold an on-base percentage of .309 and a team batting average of .239 over the course of the season. The Twins hold a team slugging percentage of .391 and they are scoring 4.16 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have been rung up on 712 occasions (16th in the league) and have tallied 688 base hits.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.254 and have a FIP of 3.78 as a squad this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (734 strikeouts against 227 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 18th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 717. They have conceded 91 homers and they relinquish 4.46 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 373 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.15 (347 earned runs conceded).

With 90 save situations, the Twins have accumulated 58 holds and also 13 blown saves. Minnesota has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 30 save opportunities and they have walked away with 17 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 100 times in high leverage situations in addition to 62 occasions with runners on. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.0% of 89 inherited runners. They rank 23rd in the league holding a save percentage of 56.7%, and they have dispatched 292 relievers onto the diamond so far this year.

In 6,777 innings on the field, the Twins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 42 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in MLB). The Twins have racked up 634 assists, 43 errors and have 2,259 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Ryan has conceded 462 hits while he has tallied 633 punch outs in 568 innings. Ryan (41-30 career record) has a 3.72 earned run average and has conceded 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 235 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.040 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.91 and he has faced 2,297 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-144)

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