Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, June 14, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+102) New York (-122)

The New York Mets (44-24) host the Tampa Bay Rays (36-32) at Citi Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rays at +102 and the Mets are coming in at -122. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Drew Rasmussen and Tylor Megill.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, which puts them at 11th in baseball. They have tallied 301 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .311. The Rays have hit 107 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 71 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 286 RBI's as well as 557 hits this season, and their average at the plate is .245. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .389 and have been called out on strikes 575 times, while taking a walk on 205 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.54 so far this season (8th in the league), and their staff has rung up 543 batters. Rays pitchers have conceded 90 long balls and also 254 runs in total (7th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 178 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a team on the season. Tampa Bay has allowed 534 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 240 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.05 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17.

Rays pitchers have come into the game with runners on 39 times and also have had 67 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 42 holds for the year (14th in MLB). The Rays relievers have recorded a save percentage of 61.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 69 save situations. They have accumulated 16 saves on the campaign and have blown 10 of their 26 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 54 base runners this year with 40.7% of them ended up scoring. The Rays have dispatched 213 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Rays have turned 71.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 5,484 innings on the diamond, ranking them 3rd in professional baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have 1,828 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 647 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which puts them in 9th in pro baseball, and have earned 74 double plays.

Rasmussen (25-16 career record) sits with a FIP of 2.78 and he has gone up against 1,517 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 304 base knocks (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 96 walks. His earned run average is 2.82 (119 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.055. Rasmussen has taken the ball for 379 innings and has earned 360 strikeouts in his career.

New York has recorded 87 home runs on the campaign as well as 306 runs batted in. They have 115 doubles, while walking 248 times as well as notching 315 runs. The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .331 as well as a team batting average of .249 this year. The Mets have a team SLG% of .426 and they are recording 4.63 runs per outing (8th in MLB). They have been rung up on 522 occasions (24th in baseball) and have recorded 565 base knocks.

The New York pitching staff have given up 221 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 2.82 (190 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 48 HR's and they yield 3.28 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.227 with a FIP of 3.41 as a squad this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (607 strikeouts vs 237 walks). They are currently ranked 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 508.

Sitting with 83 save situations, the Mets have 50 holds and also 12 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to enter the game in 33 save chances and they have tallied 21 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 91 times in high leverage situations and also on 65 occasions with base runners. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 24.2% out of their 95 inherited runners. They sit at 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have sent 210 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

Out of their 5,466 innings on the field, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in the majors). The New York Mets have gotten 56 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 609 assists, 32 errors and have 1,822 putouts during this campaign.

Megill (26-25 career mark) has a 4.44 earned run average and has surrendered 8.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.67 and he has gone up against 1,765 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 200 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.379 and a FIP of 4.4. So far in his career, Megill has allowed 398 hits while totaling 430 strikeouts in 405 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-122)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here