Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+126) Toronto (-152)

Rogers Centre is the site where the Toronto Blue Jays (20-20) will try to beat the Tampa Bay Rays (18-22) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rays at +126 and the Blue Jays are priced at -152. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Ryan Pepiot and Chris Bassitt.

The Rays have earned 57 doubles as a unit and have hit 32 baseballs out of the stadium. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .361 and have struck out 341 times, while being walked on 128 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 3.8 runs per game, which has them at 25th in the league. They have recorded 143 runs batted in in addition to 321 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .241. They have earned a total of 150 runs and have an OBP of .308.

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The Rays are sitting with a team ERA of 3.74 so far this year (10th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 313 hitters. Rays pitchers have relinquished 54 home runs and also 159 runs (9th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 115 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.39 as a squad over the course of the season. Tampa Bay has given up 314 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 150 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.72 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.19.

Rays relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 20 times as well as having 46 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 21 holds for the season (21st in baseball). The Rays bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 68.8% and have entered the game in 37 save situations. They have compiled 11 saves on the season and have blown 5 of 16 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 29 runners on the year and 44.8% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have dispatched 132 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Tampa Bay Rays have earned 1,082 putouts this season, in addition to 385 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which puts them in 11th in pro baseball, and they have turned 43 double plays. The Rays have converted 72.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,246 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 4th in pro baseball.

Pepiot has taken the hill for 252 frames and has racked up 260 strikeouts so far in his career. Pepiot (15-13 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.34 while he has faced 1,045 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.39 (95 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.162. He has allowed 197 base hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) with 96 walks.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .320 in addition to a batting average of .250 so far this season. They have been rung up on 296 instances (29th in baseball) and have notched a total of 338 base hits. Toronto has a total of 30 home runs this year and 150 RBIs. The Blue Jays have a team SLG% of .370 and they average 3.90 runs per game (22nd in the league). They have 69 doubles, while taking a walk 129 times as well as notching 156 runs.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.235 in addition to having a FIP of 4.29 as a squad this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (374 strikeouts vs 123 free passes). They are currently ranked 11th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 318. They have relinquished 57 home runs and they allow 4.48 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 178 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.23 (168 earned runs allowed).

With 45 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 24 holds and also 8 blown saves. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 21 save chances and they have recorded 13 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 38 times in high leverage situations and on 47 occasions with runners on base. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 21.0% out of their 62 inherited runners. They rank 17th in baseball holding a save rate of 61.9%, and they have dispatched 136 relievers to the mound for the year.

In 3,219 innings played, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (12th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 27 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have racked up 309 assists, 20 errors and have amassed 1,073 putouts over the course of the season.

Bassitt (75-58 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.58 ERA while conceding 8.3 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.94 and he has faced 4,870 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 459 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.234 and having a FIP of 3.5. So far in his MLB career, Bassitt has allowed 1,058 base hits while he has accumulated 1,074 punch outs in 1,153 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-152)

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