Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+125) Toronto (-150)

Rogers Centre is the site where the Toronto Blue Jays (20-21) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (19-22) on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Rays at +125 and the Blue Jays are at -150. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Zack Littell and Kevin Gausman.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 3.9 runs/g, which is 23rd in MLB. They have earned 161 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .310. The Rays have hit 58 doubles as a team and have hit 35 balls out of the park. They have earned 153 runs batted in and 331 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate is at .242. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .366 and have struck out 349 times, while drawing a walk on 132 occasions.

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The Rays have an earned run average of 3.87 on the season (14th in the league), and the staff has struck out 324 hitters. Rays pitchers have conceded 58 long balls and also 168 runs in total (11th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 120 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.48 as a squad on the season. Tampa Bay has surrendered 324 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 159 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.70 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.20.

The Rays have sent 137 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 33 runners over the course of the season with 39.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 12 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 6 of their 18 save chances. The Rays relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 66.7% and have come into the game in 40 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 22 holds on the season (21st in MLB). Rays bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 22 times in addition to having 49 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 72.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,327 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 3rd in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a total of 1,109 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 394 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which has them sitting 11th in the majors, and have accumulated 44 double plays.

Littell has pitched in 463 innings and has earned 396 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.97 (204 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.248. He has conceded 466 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 112 free passes. Littell (26-26 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.91 while facing 1,943 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .380 and they average 4.02 runs per outing (20th in the league). They have notched 74 doubles, while walking 134 times and recording 165 runs. Toronto has tallied 34 home runs so far this year and 159 RBIs. They have been rung up on 307 instances (28th in MLB) and have recorded 348 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with an OBP of .321 in addition to a batting average of .251 so far this year.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.242 and have a FIP of 4.36 as a unit so far this season. They come in at 11th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 328. The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 189 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.40 (179 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.40 (382 strikeouts vs 127 free passes). They have conceded 60 dingers and they relinquish 4.65 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league).

Sitting with 46 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 24 holds and also 9 blown saves. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 22 save opportunities and they have earned 13 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 40 times in high leverage situations and also on 48 occasions with runners on base. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 21.9% out of 64 inherited runners. They sit at 21st in baseball with a save rate of 59.1%, and they have sent 140 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 27 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 319 assists, 20 errors and have accumulated 1,100 putouts so far this season. In 3,300 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (12th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Gausman has allowed 1,712 base knocks and he has 1,805 punch outs in 1,763 innings. Gausman (105-105 career record) has earned a 3.84 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 753 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.253 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.63 and he has gone up against 7,386 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+125)

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