Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, September 26, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+110) Toronto (-132)

The Toronto Blue Jays (90-68) are hosting the Tampa Bay Rays (77-81) at Rogers Centre on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays at +110 and the Blue Jays are sitting at -132. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Adrian Houser and Shane Bieber.

As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.4 runs per outing, which has them at 15th in the league. They have earned a total of 702 runs scored while having a team OBP of .313. The Rays have hit 239 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 179 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 668 runs batted in in addition to 1,337 base knocks for the year, and their batting average comes in at .251. Tampa Bay is slugging .402 and have struck out 1,354 times, while drawing a walk on 453 occasions.

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The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.85 so far this year (10th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,376 batters. Rays pitchers have given up 196 home runs and 655 total runs (10th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 460 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.12 as a unit over the course of the season. Tampa Bay has conceded 1,235 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 599 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.99 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21.

Rays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 109 times and also have had 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 87 holds so far this season (16th in the league). The Rays relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 55.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 153 save situations. They have accumulated 35 saves so far this season and have blown 28 of 63 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 161 base runners for the season and 31.1% of them crossed the plate. The Rays have sent 509 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 4,198 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,389 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which ranks 15th in professional baseball, and they have turned 145 double plays. The Rays have converted 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,594 innings, which ranks them 7th in professional baseball.

Houser (40-43 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.99 and he has faced 3,111 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 709 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 280 walks. His earned run average is 4.05 (327 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.360. Houser has pitched in 727 innings and has accounted for 571 punch outs so far in his career.

The Blue Jays have a team slugging % of .424 and they are recording 4.87 runs per game (7th in the league). They have recorded 286 doubles, while taking a walk 506 times and putting up 770 runs. Toronto has a total of 183 home runs on the year as well as 743 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,067 occasions (29th in the league) and have 1,425 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated an on-base percentage of .333 as well as a batting average of .265 so far this season.

The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 713 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.24 (660 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 206 homers and they surrender 4.58 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.276 and have a FIP of 4.30 as a unit so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.90 (1,388 strikeouts against 502 free passes). They are currently ranked 14th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,287.

Sitting with 163 save situations, the Blue Jays have accumulated 92 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Toronto has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 64 save chances and they have converted 41 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 154 times in high leverage situations and also on 174 occasions with base runners. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.2% of 248 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 12th in MLB with a save rate of 64.1%, and they have sent 551 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 113 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 1,240 assists, 85 errors and have a total of 4,206 putouts on the season. In 12,618 innings played, the Blue Jays have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (15th in MLB).

During his MLB career, Bieber has given up 781 base knocks while tallying 992 K's in 878 frames. He has given up a total of 316 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.109 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.14 and he has faced 3,552 opposing batters during his MLB career. Bieber (65-34 record in his career) has a 3.24 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+110)

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