Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, May 6, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+102) Boston (-122)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (18-18) will try to beat the Texas Rangers (17-18) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Texas at +102 and Boston is sitting at -122. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Nathan Eovaldi and Lucas Giolito.

Texas is slugging .359 and have been called out on strikes 274 times, while drawing a walk on 82 occasions. They have earned 111 runs batted in in addition to 256 base knocks this year, while their batting average is at .228. The Rangers have hit 46 doubles as a team and have hit 31 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 113 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .285. As a team, the Texas Rangers are knocking in 3.2 runs per game, which is 29th in MLB.

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The Rangers have an ERA of 3.44 this season (7th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 275 hitters. Rangers pitchers have surrendered 28 home runs and also 131 runs (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 92 opposing players and their FIP is 3.49 as a squad so far this year. Texas has allowed 266 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 117 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.99 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17.

Rangers pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 31 times in addition to having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 26 holds for the season (6th in the league). The Rangers relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 73.3% and have come into the game in 41 save situations. They have tallied 11 saves this season and have blown 4 out of their 15 save chances. The relievers have inherited 51 runners on the campaign and 31.4% of those runners crossed the plate. The Rangers have sent 111 relievers to the hill this season.

The Texas Rangers have accounted for 918 putouts on the campaign, as well as 314 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which is 12th in baseball, and they have turned 29 double plays. The Rangers have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,754 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 9th in baseball.

Eovaldi has taken the mound for 1,614 innings and has accounted for 1,404 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.02 (721 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.269. He has surrendered 1,601 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 448 walks. Eovaldi (93-83 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.96 and he has faced 6,791 hitters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .332 as well as a batting average of .255 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 328 occasions (2nd in the league) and have a total of 318 base hits. Boston has accounted for 42 home runs so far this year as well as 170 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .420 and they average 4.97 runs per outing (8th in baseball). They have put up 70 doubles, while taking a walk 133 times and scoring 179 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 162 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.99 (142 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 34 long balls and they relinquish 4.55 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.287 in addition to having a FIP of 3.73 as a team for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (305 strikeouts vs 109 walks). They are sitting at 24th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 303.

With 27 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 10 holds and 8 blown saves. Boston has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 16 save opportunities and they have walked away with 8 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 32 times in high leverage situations and also on 25 occasions with runners on. Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 48.5% of 33 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 26th in MLB holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 107 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 31 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .977 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 331 assists, 30 errors and have accumulated 962 putouts this season. Out of their 2,886 innings on the field, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (24th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Giolito has surrendered 886 base hits and he has 1,077 punch outs in 1,013 frames. He has surrendered a total of 499 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and he has faced 4,260 batters in his pro baseball career. Giolito (61-62 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.43 ERA and has surrendered 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (+102)

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