Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+125) Boston (-150)

The Boston Red Sox (18-18) host the Texas Rangers (17-18) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has Texas at +125 and Boston is coming in at -150. The betting total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Tyler Mahle and Tanner Houck.

Texas has a slugging percentage of .359 and have struck out 274 times, while taking a walk on 82 occasions. They have amassed 111 RBI's and 256 hits for the year, while their team batting average comes in at .228. The Rangers have hit 46 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 31 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 113 runs scored and have an OBP of .285. As a team, the Texas Rangers are earning 3.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 29th in baseball.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17. Rangers pitchers have allowed 28 long balls and 131 runs (8th in baseball). Texas has surrendered 266 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 117 earned runs. The Rangers have an earned run average of 3.44 this year (7th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 275 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 92 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.49 as a unit so far this year.

Rangers relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 31 times in addition to having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 26 holds for the season (6th in MLB). The Rangers relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 73.3% and stepped onto the hill in 41 save situations. They have tallied 11 saves so far this season and have blown 4 out of their 15 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 51 runners this season with 31.4% of them crossed home plate. The Rangers have dispatched 111 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Texas Rangers have earned a total of 918 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 314 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which ranks 12th in the majors, and they have turned 29 double plays. The Rangers have transformed 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,754 innings, ranking them 9th in MLB.

Mahle has taken the mound for 685 innings and has 719 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 4.15 (316 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.290. He has conceded 635 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 249 walks. Mahle (36-43 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.09 while facing 2,922 hitters in the major leagues.

Boston has a total of 42 home runs on the campaign to go along with 170 RBIs. They have recorded 70 doubles, while walking 133 times as well as earning 179 runs. The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .332 as well as a batting average of .255 over the course of the season. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .420 and they earn 4.97 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 328 occasions (2nd in the league) and have 318 base hits.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.287 in addition to having a FIP of 3.73 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (305 strikeouts against 109 walks). They rank 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 303. They have surrendered 34 dingers and they surrender 4.55 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 162 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.99 (142 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 27 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 10 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 16 save chances and they have recorded 8 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 32 times in high leverage situations and on 25 occasions with runners on. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 48.5% out of 33 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 26th in MLB holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 107 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 31 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .977 (30th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have 331 assists, 30 errors and have a total of 962 putouts on the season. In 2,886 innings on the field, the Red Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.9% (24th in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Houck has given up 414 hits while totaling 447 punch outs in 466 frames. He has surrendered a total of 196 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.216 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92 and he has faced 1,960 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Houck (24-31 record in his career) has a 3.78 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (+125)

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