Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/8/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, May 8, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (-122) Boston (+102)

The Texas Rangers (18-18) are traveling to Fenway Park on Thursday where they will go up against the Boston Red Sox (18-19). The moneyline on this matchup has the Rangers at -122 while the Red Sox are opening at +102. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Jack Leiter and Brayan Bello.

Texas has a slugging % of .362 and have been called out on strikes 283 times, while taking a walk on 84 occasions. They have amassed 116 RBI's and 272 hits for the season, while their batting average sits at .234. The Rangers have hit 48 doubles as a squad and have hit 31 balls out of the stadium. They are sitting with 119 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .289. As a team, the Texas Rangers are knocking in 3.3 runs/g, which has them at 28th in the league.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.09 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.16. Rangers pitchers have allowed 28 home runs and 132 total runs (6th in the league). Texas has conceded 272 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 118 earned runs. The Rangers hold a team earned run average of 3.37 on the year (5th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 287 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 93 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.43 as a team this year.

Rangers relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 31 times in addition to having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 26 holds for the year (7th in the league). The Rangers relievers have a save percentage of 73.3% and have come into the game in 41 save situations. They have earned 11 saves over the course of the season and have blown 4 of 15 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 51 runners on the season and 31.4% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Rangers have sent 114 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Rangers have turned 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,835 innings on the field, which has them sitting 11th in MLB. The Texas Rangers have earned 945 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 321 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which has them ranked 11th in baseball, and have a total of 29 double plays.

Leiter has taken the mound for 52 frames and has totaled 46 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 7.56 (44 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.603. He has given up 60 base knocks (10.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 24 walks. Leiter (2-4 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 7.44 while he has faced 248 hitters in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have tallied a team OBP of .329 and a batting average of .253 for the season. They have been rung up on 340 occasions (2nd in baseball) and are sitting with 324 base hits. Boston is sitting with 42 long balls on the year and 171 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .416 and they average 4.86 runs per game (7th in baseball). They have 72 two-baggers, while taking a walk 134 times as well as earning 180 runs.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.306 and have a FIP of 3.68 as a unit for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (314 strikeouts against 111 free passes). They sit at 25th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 319. They have allowed 34 dingers and they yield 4.59 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have yielded 168 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.05 (148 earned runs surrendered).

Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 45.7% out of their 35 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 32 times in high leverage situations in addition to 26 occasions with runners on. With 27 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 10 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They rank 26th in baseball with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 109 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 16 save chances and they have come away with 8 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 32 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .978 (30th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have 338 assists, 30 errors and have earned 989 putouts on the campaign. In 2,967 innings on the field, the Red Sox hold a efficiency on defense of 67.3% (27th in professional baseball).

Bello (30-27 career mark) has a 4.35 earned run average while surrendering 9.4 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.46 and he has gone up against 1,711 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 190 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.408 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. During his MLB career, Bello has conceded 411 base hits and he has 352 K's in 393 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (-122)

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