Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Friday, September 26, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+102) Cleveland (-122)

Progressive Field is the site where the Cleveland Guardians (86-72) will compete against the Texas Rangers (80-78) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Texas at +102 and Cleveland is at -122. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Jack Leiter and Slade Cecconi.

As a team, the Texas Rangers are earning 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in MLB. They have earned 667 runs scored and have an OBP of .304. The Rangers have earned 238 doubles as a squad and have hit 172 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 641 runs batted in and 1,247 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate comes in at .235. Texas is slugging .383 and have been called out on strikes 1,288 times, while drawing a walk on 482 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18. Rangers pitchers have conceded 166 home runs and also 586 total runs (1st in baseball). Texas has given up 1,202 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 539 earned runs. The Rangers have a team ERA of 3.45 on the year (1st in baseball), and they have struck out 1,307 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 453 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.88 as a team on the season.

The Rangers have sent 511 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 255 base runners on the season with 28.6% of those runners crossed home plate. They have earned 37 saves on the season and have missed out on 28 of their 65 save opportunities. The Rangers bullpen have a save percentage of 56.9% and have come into the game in 149 save situations. The relievers have notched 79 holds this season (23rd in baseball). Rangers pitchers have entered the game with players on base 181 times and also have had 176 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Texas Rangers have accounted for 4,222 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,339 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which has them sitting 1st in the majors, and they have turned 121 double plays. The Rangers have turned 72.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,666 innings, which ranks them 1st in professional baseball.

Leiter (9-13 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.84 and he has faced 793 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 167 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 83 free passes. His earned run average is 4.92 (98 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.394. Leiter has pitched in 179 innings and has accounted for 169 strikeouts thus far in his career.

Cleveland has recorded 164 home runs over the course of the season as well as 604 RBIs. They have hit 236 two-baggers, while taking a walk 483 times and racking up 626 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have tallied an OBP of .297 as well as a batting average of .226 on the season. The Guardians have a slugging percentage of .373 and they earn 3.96 runs per game (26th in the league). They have struck out on 1,308 occasions (18th in MLB) and have totaled 1,172 hits.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.265 with a FIP of 3.96 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.60 (1,341 strikeouts vs 519 free passes). They rank 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,258. They have given up 163 dingers and they allow 4.02 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 628 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.68 (574 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 184 save situations, the Guardians have earned 112 holds and also 22 blown saves. Cleveland has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 69 save opportunities and they have come away with 47 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 188 times in high leverage situations and on 147 occasions with runners on. Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.2% out of their 202 inherited runners. They rank 5th in baseball holding a save rate of 68.1%, and they have sent 517 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 121 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in baseball). The Guardians have recorded 1,305 assists, 96 errors and have amassed 4,215 putouts for the season. In 12,645 innings played, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (17th in MLB).

Cecconi (9-14 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 5.00 ERA and has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.65 and he has gone up against 976 hitters in his career. He has allowed a total of 129 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.9. Thus far in his career, Cecconi has allowed 239 base hits while he has tallied 190 strikeouts in 232 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-122)

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