Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+172) Cleveland (-210)

Progressive Field is the site where the Cleveland Guardians (86-72) will go up against the Texas Rangers (80-78) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Texas at +172 and Cleveland is coming in at -210. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Merrill Kelly and Joey Cantillo.

Texas has a slugging rate of .383 and have been rung up 1,288 times, while drawing a walk on 482 occasions. They have amassed 641 runs batted in in addition to 1,247 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is sitting at .235. The Rangers have accounted for 238 doubles as a team and have knocked 172 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 667 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304. As a squad, the Texas Rangers are compiling 4.2 runs per contest, which is 22nd in the league.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.89 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18. Rangers pitchers have given up 166 long balls and 586 total runs (1st in baseball). Texas has allowed 1,202 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 539 earned runs. The Rangers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.45 so far this season (1st in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,307 batters. They have walked 453 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.88 as a team this year.

The Rangers have sent 511 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 255 base runners on the season with 28.6% of those players crossed the plate. They have accumulated 37 saves so far this year and have blown 28 of their 65 save opportunities. The Rangers relievers have a save percentage of 56.9% and stepped onto the hill in 149 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 79 holds on the year (23rd in baseball). Rangers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 181 times and also have had 176 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rangers have transformed 72.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,666 innings, which ranks them 1st in baseball. The Texas Rangers have earned a total of 4,222 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,339 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .991 which has them sitting 1st in MLB, and have 121 double plays.

Kelly (65-53 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.71 while he has faced 4,143 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 907 base hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 300 free passes. His ERA is 3.77 (422 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.197. Kelly has thrown 1,008 innings and has tallied 911 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Guardians hold a slugging % of .373 and they tally 3.96 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have hit 236 doubles, while taking a walk 483 times and notching 626 runs. Cleveland has accumulated 164 HRs on the season and 604 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,308 occasions (18th in MLB) and have 1,172 hits. The Cleveland Guardians have a team on-base percentage of .297 and a team batting average of .226 so far this season.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.265 and have a FIP of 3.96 as a team over the course of the season. They are sitting at 11th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,258. The Cleveland pitching staff have given up 628 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.68 (574 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (1,341 strikeouts against 519 walks). They have surrendered 163 long balls and they surrender 4.02 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).

Cleveland relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.2% out of their 202 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 188 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with base runners. With 184 save situations, the Guardians have earned 112 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. They are currently ranked 5th in the league holding a save percentage of 68.1%, and they have dispatched 517 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. Cleveland has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 69 save chances and they have earned 47 saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 121 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in professional baseball). The Guardians have 1,305 assists, 96 errors and have accumulated 4,215 putouts so far this year. Out of their 12,645 innings on the field, the Guardians are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (17th in baseball).

Cantillo (7-7 career mark) has earned a 3.74 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.53 and he has gone up against 544 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 53 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.311 and a FIP of 3.7. Thus far in his career, Cantillo has allowed 110 base knocks while earning 144 K's in 127 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-210)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here