Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+125) Cleveland (-145)

Progressive Field is the location where the Cleveland Guardians (86-73) will take on the Texas Rangers (80-79) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Rangers at +125 while the Guardians are sitting at -145. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers are Patrick Corbin and Gavin Williams.

Texas is slugging .382 and have been called out on strikes 1,297 times, while drawing a walk on 483 occasions. They have 641 RBI's and 1,250 hits for the season, while their batting average is .234. The Rangers have tallied 239 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 172 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 667 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .303. As a squad, the Texas Rangers are scoring 4.2 runs per contest, which has them at 25th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.90 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.18. Rangers pitchers have allowed 168 home runs in addition to 590 runs (1st in the league). Texas has allowed 1,212 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 543 earned runs. The Rangers have a team ERA of 3.45 on the campaign (1st in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,316 hitters. They have walked 454 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.89 as a squad this year.

The Rangers bullpen have earned a save percentage of 56.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 149 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 257 runners on the season and 28.4% of them crossed home plate. Rangers pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 182 times as well as having 176 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have dispatched 514 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have tallied 79 holds on the campaign (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 37 saves so far this season and have not converted 28 of their 65 chances to save the game.

The Rangers have turned 72.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,747 innings on the field, which has them ranked 1st in the majors. The Texas Rangers have a tally of 4,249 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,346 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .991 which has them sitting 1st in MLB, and have accumulated 121 double plays.

Corbin has taken the mound for 2,043 innings and has accounted for 1,855 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Corbin (110-142 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.43 and he has faced 8,790 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.50 (1,022 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.371. He has surrendered 2,174 base knocks (9.6 hits per 9 innings) with 628 free passes.

The Guardians have a team SLG% of .373 and they have an average of 3.95 runs per game (27th in the league). They have notched 239 doubles, while taking a walk 485 times and recording 628 runs. Cleveland has knocked in 164 HRs so far this year as well as 606 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,316 instances (17th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,177 base hits. The Cleveland Guardians have an on-base percentage of .296 in addition to a batting average of .226 on the season.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.266 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a unit so far this season. They have a ranking of 11th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,266. The Cleveland pitching staff have relinquished 632 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.68 (578 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (1,351 strikeouts against 524 bases on balls). They have given up 166 home runs and they surrender 4.02 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball).

Cleveland has had relievers enter the game in 69 save opportunities and they have converted 47 saves. They rank 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 68.1%, and they have dispatched 521 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 188 times in high leverage situations and on 147 occasions with runners on base. Cleveland bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.2% of 202 inherited base runners. Sitting with 184 save situations, the Guardians have amassed 112 holds and 22 blown saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 121 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in MLB). The Guardians have accrued 1,310 assists, 97 errors and are sitting with 4,242 putouts this year. In 12,726 innings on the field, the Guardians have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (17th in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Williams has allowed 268 hits while tallying 333 K's in 325 innings pitched. Williams (18-20 career record) has earned a 3.54 earned run average while giving up 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up 128 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.292 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.19 and he has gone up against 1,381 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-145)

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