Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, July 11, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+150) Houston (-182)

Daikin Park is where the Houston Astros (55-36) will meet the Texas Rangers (44-47) on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rangers at +150 and the Astros open at -182. The total is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jack Leiter and Lance McCullers Jr..

The Rangers have recorded 126 doubles as a team and have hit 91 baseballs out of the park. Texas has a slugging % of .366 and have been rung up 739 times, while taking a walk on 265 occasions. As a unit, the Texas Rangers are scoring 3.8 runs per game, which has them at 25th in the league. They have amassed 331 RBI's as well as 691 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .228. They have accumulated 345 runs while holding a team OBP of .296.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.79 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17. Rangers pitchers have conceded 78 home runs in addition to 321 total runs (1st in MLB). Texas has conceded 687 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 293 earned runs. The Rangers have an earned run average of 3.27 for the season (1st in the league), and they have struck out 718 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 257 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.61 as a unit this year.

The Rangers have sent 284 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 137 base runners so far this season with 33.6% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 25 saves on the year and have blown 15 of their 40 chances to save the game. The Rangers relievers have earned a save rate of 62.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 96 save situations. The bullpen have notched 53 holds so far this season (13th in the league). Rangers pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 96 times and also have had 105 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rangers have turned 72.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,263 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 1st in pro baseball. The Texas Rangers have accounted for 2,421 putouts so far this season, as well as 811 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .991 which has them sitting 1st in pro baseball, and they have turned 67 double plays.

Leiter has pitched in 110 frames and is sitting with 94 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 5.80 (71 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.461. He has surrendered 110 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 51 walks. Leiter (4-9 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 5.71 and he has gone up against 495 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Houston has knocked in 105 home runs on the season to go along with 382 runs batted in. They have put up 133 doubles, while getting a free base 263 times as well as earning 401 runs. The Houston Astros have tallied an OBP of .325 as well as a batting average of .260 for the year. The Astros hold a team SLG% of .413 and they have an average of 4.41 runs per game (15th in the league). They have struck out on 696 instances (26th in baseball) and have totaled 797 base knocks.

The Astros have a WHIP of 1.164 in addition to having a FIP of 3.61 as a unit for the season. They rank 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 672. The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 332 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.52 (315 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.80 (876 strikeouts against 265 free passes). They have allowed 98 homers and they concede 3.71 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball).

Houston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 39 save opportunities and they have walked away with 30 saves. They rank 1st in the league with a save rate of 76.9%, and they have dispatched 278 relievers onto the diamond for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 93 times in high leverage situations and also on 66 occasions with runners on. Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 27.1% of 96 inherited runners. With 100 save situations, the Astros have amassed 60 holds in addition to 9 blown saves.

In their 7,251 innings on the diamond, the Astros are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (11th in the majors). The Houston Astros have turned 56 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in professional baseball). The Astros have accrued 705 assists, 40 errors and have notched a total of 2,417 putouts on the season.

McCullers (51-35 record in his career) has earned a 3.61 earned run average while surrendering 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.64 and he has gone up against 3,200 hitters during his career. He has allowed a total of 303 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.269 and a FIP of 3.6. During his pro baseball career, McCullers has surrendered 640 hits while totaling 844 K's in 756 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-182)

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