Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+125) Houston (-150)

Daikin Park is the site where the Houston Astros (55-38) will meet the Texas Rangers (46-48) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Rangers at +125 while the Astros are coming in at -150. The over/under comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Jacob deGrom and Framber Valdez.

Texas has a slugging percentage of .372 and have been called out on strikes 758 times, while drawing a walk on 282 occasions. They have recorded 362 runs batted in and 726 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average sits at .231. The Rangers have tallied 135 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 97 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 377 runs while holding a team OBP of .300. As a unit, the Texas Rangers are scoring 4.0 runs/g, which is 25th in MLB.

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The Rangers have compiled a team ERA of 3.31 this year (1st in the league), and they have rung up 742 hitters. Rangers pitchers have allowed 84 home runs and 337 total runs (1st in the league). They have walked 261 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.65 as a squad so far this year. Texas has given up 715 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 306 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.84 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17.

The Rangers bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 61.0% and have entered the game in 98 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 139 runners for the year with 34.5% of those players crossed home plate. Rangers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 97 times and also have had 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have sent 292 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 54 holds over the course of the season (13th in MLB). They have tallied 25 saves so far this year and have missed out on 16 out of their 41 save opportunities.

The Rangers have turned 71.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,497 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 1st in pro baseball. The Texas Rangers have earned 2,499 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 841 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .991 which puts them in 1st in the majors, and have earned 70 double plays.

deGrom has pitched in 1,473 innings and has earned 1,771 K's so far in his pro baseball career. deGrom (93-59 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 2.47 while he has faced 5,784 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 2.50 (410 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.988. He has given up 1,125 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has 331 walks.

The Astros have a team slugging percentage of .411 and they earn 4.40 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have 140 doubles, while getting a free base 271 times and scoring 409 runs. Houston has compiled 105 long balls on the season to go along with 390 RBIs. They have been rung up on 722 occasions (25th in the league) and are sitting with 815 base hits. The Houston Astros have accounted for a team OBP of .325 and a batting average of .260 on the year.

The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.162 and have a FIP of 3.67 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.70 (889 strikeouts against 272 free passes). They sit at 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 686. They have relinquished 103 dingers and they relinquish 3.78 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have yielded 346 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.58 (328 earned runs surrendered).

Houston relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.1% of 96 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 94 times in high leverage situations and on 66 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 100 save situations, the Astros have amassed 60 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in MLB with a save percentage of 76.9%, and they have sent 284 relievers to the hill for the year. Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 39 save opportunities and they have earned 30 saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 58 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in pro baseball). The Astros have accrued 720 assists, 40 errors and have accounted for 2,474 putouts this year. In their 7,422 innings played, the Astros have a efficiency on defense of 71.1% (8th in baseball).

So far in his career, Valdez has conceded 832 hits while earning 981 punch outs in 1,003 frames. He has surrendered a total of 363 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.190 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and he has faced 4,148 batters thus far in his career. Valdez (78-45 career win-loss record) has a 3.26 earned run average while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-150)

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