Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, September 15, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+102) Houston (-122)

Daikin Park is the location where the Houston Astros (79-68) will compete against the Texas Rangers (77-70) on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Rangers at +102 and the Astros are opening at -122. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jack Leiter and Jason Alexander.

As a team, the Texas Rangers are earning 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 20th in the league. They are sitting with 630 runs scored while having a team OBP of .305. The Rangers have accounted for 224 two-baggers as a team and have hit 163 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 606 runs batted in in addition to 1,165 hits so far this season, and their batting average is .236. Texas has a slugging rate of .387 and have struck out 1,201 times, while taking a walk on 450 occasions.

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The Rangers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.43 on the season (1st in baseball), and they have rung up 1,216 hitters. Rangers pitchers have allowed 155 home runs and also 539 runs in total (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 424 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.90 as a team this season. Texas has relinquished 1,109 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 499 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.87 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.17.

Rangers relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 157 times in addition to having 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 77 holds so far this year (22nd in baseball). The Rangers relievers have earned a save percentage of 56.5% and stepped onto the hill in 144 save situations. They have earned 35 saves this year and have missed out on 27 of their 62 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 224 runners this season with 31.3% of those runners crossed home plate. The Rangers have dispatched 464 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Texas Rangers are sitting with 3,925 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,263 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .991 which ranks 1st in baseball, and have 116 double plays. The Rangers have turned 72.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,775 innings on the diamond, ranking them 1st in pro baseball.

Leiter (9-11 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.82 and he has faced 739 hitters in the majors. He has conceded 154 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 81 free passes. His earned run average is 4.90 (91 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.405. Leiter has thrown 167 frames and has 161 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Astros hold a slugging % of .399 and they are recording 4.18 runs per outing (25th in the league). They have hit 226 doubles, while getting a free base 434 times and putting up 615 runs. Houston has tallied 162 home runs so far this season and 587 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,169 occasions (24th in the league) and are sitting with 1,254 base knocks. The Houston Astros have tallied an OBP of .317 as well as a team batting average of .252 this year.

The Houston pitching staff have relinquished 602 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.84 (560 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 177 long balls and they give up 4.13 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Astros have a WHIP of 1.218 in addition to having a FIP of 3.97 as a squad for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (1,387 strikeouts against 461 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,136.

Houston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 23.1% out of 160 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 161 times in high leverage situations and on 117 occasions with base runners. With 144 save situations, the Astros have amassed 84 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. They rank 2nd in the league holding a save percentage of 71.9%, and they have dispatched 468 relievers onto the field so far this season. Houston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 57 save chances and they have walked away with 41 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 95 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in MLB). The Astros have racked up 1,156 assists, 64 errors and have a tally of 3,933 putouts on the campaign. In 11,799 innings played, the Astros hold a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (8th in pro baseball).

Alexander (6-4 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.85 ERA and has allowed 10.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.98 and he has gone up against 607 hitters thus far in his career. He has allowed 74 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.477 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. In his pro baseball career, Alexander has surrendered 152 base knocks and he has 101 punch outs in 137 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (+102)

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