Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+132) Houston (-160)

The Texas Rangers (79-71) are en route to Daikin Park on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the Houston Astros (81-69). The odds on this game have the Rangers at +132 and the Astros are opening at -160. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Merrill Kelly and Cristian Javier.

The Rangers have accumulated 232 doubles as a unit and have knocked 164 balls out of the stadium. Texas has a slugging % of .387 and have struck out 1,218 times, while drawing a walk on 460 occasions. As a squad, the Texas Rangers are notching 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 18th in the league. They have compiled 619 runs batted in and 1,195 hits so far this season, while their batting average is at .237. They have 643 runs scored while having a team OBP of .306.

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The Rangers are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.42 this season (1st in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,243 hitters. Rangers pitchers have allowed 159 home runs in addition to 549 runs in total (1st in baseball). They have walked 432 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.90 as a unit so far this season. Texas has yielded 1,132 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) and 507 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.88 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.17.

The Rangers bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 57.1% and have come into the game in 145 save situations. The relievers have inherited 231 runners for the season and 30.3% of those runners ended up scoring. Rangers pitchers have entered the game with players on base 163 times and also have had 167 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have dispatched 477 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have 77 holds over the course of the season (22nd in the league). They have compiled 36 saves for the season and have blown 27 of 63 chances to save the game.

The Rangers have turned 72.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,018 innings, which has them sitting 1st in the majors. The Texas Rangers have notched a total of 4,006 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,274 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .991 which ranks 1st in baseball, and have 116 double plays.

Kelly (65-51 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.66 and he has gone up against 4,104 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 891 base hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 299 walks. His earned run average is 3.72 (413 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.190. Kelly has taken the hill for 1,000 innings and has totaled 906 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Houston Astros have tallied a team OBP of .318 as well as a batting average of .252 on the year. They have struck out on 1,200 occasions (24th in MLB) and have totaled 1,286 base knocks. Houston has a total of 166 HRs for the year to go along with 607 runs batted in. The Astros have a slugging percentage of .400 and they score 4.23 runs per outing (25th in baseball). They have put up 229 doubles, while walking 444 times and recording 635 runs.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.218 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.00 as a unit over the course of the season. They come in at 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,159. The Houston pitching staff have yielded 615 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.86 (573 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.50 (1,404 strikeouts vs 470 free passes). They have yielded 182 HR's and they relinquish 4.14 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB).

Houston relievers have an inherited score rate of 23.0% out of 165 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 161 times in high leverage situations and also on 120 occasions with base runners. With 145 save situations, the Astros have accrued 84 holds and also 16 blown saves. They sit at 2nd in MLB holding a save rate of 72.4%, and they have sent 477 relievers onto the field so far this season. Houston has called on relievers to enter the game in 58 save opportunities and they have converted 42 saves.

In 12,033 innings on the diamond, the Astros have a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (6th in MLB). The Houston Astros have turned 96 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in MLB). The Astros have accrued 1,180 assists, 65 errors and have notched a total of 4,011 putouts for the season.

Javier (34-21 career win-loss record) has a 3.65 earned run average while surrendering 6.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and he has gone up against 2,173 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 214 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.144 and a FIP of 3.6. In his career, Javier has surrendered 386 base hits while totaling 590 strikeouts in 527 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (+132)

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