Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, July 4, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+110) San Diego (-132)

The San Diego Padres (45-39) are welcoming the Texas Rangers (42-44) at Petco Park on Friday. The odds on this game have Texas at +110 while San Diego is sitting at -132. The total is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Kumar Rocker and Randy Vasquez.

The Rangers have accumulated 121 doubles as a team and have knocked 86 balls out of the stadium. Texas owns a slugging percentage of .366 and have struck out 705 times, while drawing a walk on 250 occasions. As a team, the Texas Rangers are notching 3.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 25th in baseball. They have earned 310 RBI's in addition to 650 base knocks this season, and their batting average is at .228. They have accounted for 324 runs while holding a team OBP of .296.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15. Rangers pitchers have surrendered 75 home runs and also 304 runs in total (1st in the league). Texas has surrendered 642 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 277 earned runs. The Rangers have compiled a team ERA of 3.27 on the year (1st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 679 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 237 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.61 as a team for the year.

The Rangers bullpen have a save percentage of 63.9% and have come into the game in 89 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 122 runners on the season with 33.6% of those runners earned a run for their team. Rangers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 89 times in addition to having 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have sent 266 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers are sitting with 50 holds over the course of the season (14th in MLB). They have recorded 23 saves so far this year and have blown 13 of 36 chances to get a save.

The Rangers have turned 72.3% of balls in play into outs in their 6,867 innings on the field, which ranks them 1st in pro baseball. The Texas Rangers have 2,289 putouts thus far, as well as 760 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which has them sitting 1st in MLB, and they have turned 66 double plays.

Rocker has taken the mound for 50 innings and has 51 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Rocker (3-6 career record) sits with a FIP of 5.63 and he has faced 236 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 5.71 (32 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.567. He has given up 61 base knocks (10.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 18 free passes.

San Diego has tallied 73 long balls on the season to go along with 321 RBIs. They have put up 126 two-baggers, while walking 265 times and racking up 345 runs. The San Diego Padres have a team on-base percentage of .314 and a batting average of .247 so far this year. The Padres have a team SLG% of .378 and they score 4.11 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 589 occasions (28th in the league) and have recorded 689 hits.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.228 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.82 as a team so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (731 strikeouts against 277 bases on balls). They rank 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 634. They have relinquished 83 homers and they yield 4.03 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 332 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.65 (301 earned runs given up).

San Diego relievers have an inherited score rate of 35.6% out of their 132 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 119 times in high leverage situations and on 93 occasions with base runners. With 96 save situations, the Padres have 56 holds and 11 blown saves. They sit at 5th in baseball holding a save percentage of 71.8%, and they have sent 294 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 39 save chances and they have walked away with 28 saves.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 59 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in pro baseball). The Padres have recorded 636 assists, 40 errors and have notched a total of 2,226 putouts this year. Out of their 6,678 innings on the field, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (7th in MLB).

In his career, Vasquez has surrendered 227 base knocks while tallying 143 K's in 219 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 101 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.427 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.66 and he has gone up against 963 batters during his pro baseball career. Vasquez (9-13 record in his career) has a 4.15 ERA while allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-132)

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