Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, September 1, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-132) Cincinnati (+110)

Great American Ball Park is the location where the Cincinnati Reds (68-66) will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (78-56) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at -132 and Cincinnati is opening at +110. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Chris Bassitt and Hunter Greene.

The Blue Jays have accumulated 242 two-baggers as a team and have hit 162 baseballs out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging rate of .431 and have been called out on strikes 900 times, while drawing a walk on 439 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are knocking in 5.0 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have 640 runs batted in as well as 1,229 base knocks for the year, and their batting average is at .268. They are sitting with 664 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .338.

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The Blue Jays are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.22 for the season (19th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,188 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 182 home runs and also 604 runs in total (19th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 429 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.36 as a squad over the course of the season. Toronto has allowed 1,074 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 558 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.77 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.26.

The Blue Jays bullpen have recorded a save rate of 63.3% and have entered the game in 144 save situations. The relievers have inherited 202 base runners so far this year with 29.2% of those players crossed home plate. Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 141 times in addition to having 137 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 463 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen have notched 81 holds over the course of the season (11th in the league). They have recorded 38 saves so far this year and have blown 22 of their 60 chances to save the game.

The Blue Jays have converted 70.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,707 innings, which has them sitting 11th in MLB. The Toronto Blue Jays have 3,569 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,012 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which ranks 24th in professional baseball, and they have turned 94 double plays.

Bassitt has thrown 1,258 frames and has earned 1,173 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.66 (511 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.246. He has conceded 1,166 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 401 walks. Bassitt (83-63 career record) holds a FIP of 3.60 while he has gone up against 5,323 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Reds have a team slugging % of .388 and they score 4.46 runs per game (15th in the league). They have recorded 212 doubles, while getting a free base 435 times as well as scoring 597 runs. Cincinnati has recorded 130 HRs on the campaign and 562 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,165 occasions (10th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,107 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .316 as well as a team batting average of .246 so far this season.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.240 in addition to having a FIP of 4.05 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.50 (1,125 strikeouts against 418 bases on balls). They come in at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,050. They have allowed 150 home runs and they relinquish 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 563 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.85 (506 earned runs relinquished).

Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.1% out of their 184 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 135 times in high leverage situations and on 123 occasions with runners on. With 135 save situations, the Reds have earned 83 holds and also 19 blown saves. They sit at 20th in the league holding a save rate of 62.0%, and they have sent 457 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the game in 50 save opportunities and they have come away with 31 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 85 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (26th in pro baseball). The Reds have racked up 1,024 assists, 76 errors and have notched a total of 3,554 putouts for the year. Out of their 10,662 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (8th in the majors).

In his career, Greene has given up 370 base knocks while tallying 579 strikeouts in 465 innings pitched. Greene (23-29 career record) has earned a 3.72 earned run average while allowing 7.2 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 192 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.159 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.43 and he has faced 1,945 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

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