Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 9/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Friday, September 19, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-196) Kansas City (+162)

Kauffman Stadium is the location where the Kansas City Royals (76-76) will attempt to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (89-63) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Blue Jays at -196 and the Royals are at +162. The over/under has been set at 8. The starting pitchers are Max Scherzer and Michael Lorenzen.

Toronto is slugging .430 and have struck out 1,033 times, while being walked on 489 occasions. They have amassed 732 RBI's in addition to 1,394 hits on the year, while their team batting average comes in at .269. The Blue Jays have accumulated 278 doubles as a squad and have smacked 180 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 758 runs while holding a team OBP of .336. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are notching 5.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 4th in baseball.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.79 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.26. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 198 long balls in addition to 671 total runs (19th in MLB). Toronto has relinquished 1,214 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 618 earned runs. The Blue Jays have compiled a team ERA of 4.12 for the year (19th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,350 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 484 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.28 as a squad on the year.

Blue Jays pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 164 times in addition to having 153 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 91 holds on the season (10th in MLB). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have a save rate of 63.5% and stepped onto the hill in 160 save situations. They have recorded 40 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 23 of their 63 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 234 base runners over the course of the season with 29.1% of those players crossed home plate. The Blue Jays have sent 529 relievers to the mound this year.

The Blue Jays have converted 70.3% of balls in play into outs out of 12,159 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 11th in professional baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a total of 4,053 putouts this season, in addition to 1,183 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which ranks 20th in the majors, and have 109 double plays.

Scherzer has taken the ball for 2,957 innings and is sitting with 3,482 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Scherzer (221-115 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.14 while he has gone up against 11,952 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.19 (1,048 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.080. He has surrendered 2,416 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 778 walks.

Kansas City has accounted for 148 HRs for the season and 579 RBIs. They have hit 267 two-baggers, while taking a walk 404 times as well as putting up 589 runs. The Kansas City Royals hold an OBP of .306 and a batting average of .245 over the course of the season. The Royals hold a team slugging % of .393 and they have an average of 3.88 runs per game (28th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,026 occasions (30th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,240 base hits.

The Royals hold a team WHIP of 1.259 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.06 as a unit this year. They are sitting at 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,245. The Kansas City pitching staff have allowed 606 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.79 (567 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.90 (1,186 strikeouts against 452 free passes). They have given up 162 homers and they give up 4.05 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).

Kansas City bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.6% out of 207 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 163 times in high leverage situations and on 152 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 146 save situations, the Royals have 80 holds and also 20 blown saves. They rank 4th in baseball with a save percentage of 69.2%, and they have sent 516 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season. Kansas City has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 65 save opportunities and they have come away with 45 saves.

The Kansas City Royals have turned 124 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in the majors). The Royals have accrued 1,348 assists, 58 errors and have accumulated 4,044 putouts this season. In 12,132 innings played, the Royals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (8th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Lorenzen has conceded 913 hits while he has earned 813 strikeouts in 982 innings. He has conceded a total of 449 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.321 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.12 and he has gone up against 4,163 hitters thus far in his career. Lorenzen (52-55 career mark) holds a 4.11 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (+162)

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