Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-122) New York (+102)

The New York Mets (3-3) host the Toronto Blue Jays (5-2) at Citi Field on Sunday. The odds on this game have Toronto at -122 and New York is coming in at +102. The betting total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers are Bowden Francis and David Peterson.

As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are knocking in 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 10th in the league. They have earned 32 runs and have an on-base percentage of .355. The Blue Jays have recorded 17 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 5 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 29 runs batted in in addition to 65 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average comes in at .288. Toronto is slugging .429 and have been called out on strikes 48 times, while drawing a walk on 22 occasions.

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The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.43 on the campaign (19th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 65 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 13 home runs and 31 runs in total (19th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 21 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.61 as a squad for the season. Toronto has given up 54 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 31 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.10 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Blue Jays have sent 27 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 8 base runners over the course of the season with 37.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 4 saves this year and have blown 1 out of their 5 chances to save the game. The Blue Jays relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 80.0% and has entered the game in 13 save situations. The relievers have tallied 8 holds on the season (4th in the league). Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 5 times as well as having 3 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Blue Jays have converted 73.9% of balls in play into outs in their 567 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 9th in MLB. The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 189 putouts this year, as well as 59 assists and 1 error. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .996 which has them ranked 2nd in MLB, and have earned 4 double plays.

Francis has taken the hill for 146 frames and is sitting with 132 strikeouts thus far in his career. Francis (10-5 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.85 and he has gone up against 570 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 2.89 (47 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.903. He has surrendered 99 hits (6.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 33 walks.

New York has compiled 7 HRs this year to go along with 22 RBIs. They have notched 11 doubles, while taking a walk 20 times and racking up 23 runs. The New York Mets have an OBP of .275 as well as a team batting average of .188 this year. The Mets have a team SLG% of .350 and they are scoring 3.83 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 46 instances (24th in MLB) and are sitting with 37 hits.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.170 in addition to having a FIP of 3.12 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.30 (55 strikeouts against 22 free passes). They are currently ranked 8th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 40. They have surrendered 4 long balls and they concede 3.23 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). The New York pitching staff have allowed 19 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 2.38 (14 earned runs surrendered).

New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 8.3% out of their 12 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 9 times in high leverage situations in addition to 8 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 6 save situations, the Mets have earned 4 holds and 0 blown saves. They rank 5th in the league with a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have dispatched 18 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 2 save opportunities and they have earned 2 saves.

In 477 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (15th in the majors). The New York Mets have turned 5 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (22nd in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 64 assists, 4 errors and have a total of 159 putouts during this campaign.

In his career, Peterson has allowed 432 base knocks while he has totaled 473 strikeouts in 460 innings pitched. Peterson (29-24 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.07 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 208 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.374 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and he has gone up against 1,973 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+102)

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