Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 10/8/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Wednesday, October 8, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+110) New York (-132)

Yankee Stadium is the location where the New York Yankees (94-68) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) on Wednesday in Game 4 of the ALDS. The Blue Jays lead the series 2-1. The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at +110 and New York is at -132. The total has been set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Eric Lauer and Cam Schlittler.

Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .427 and have struck out 1,099 times, while taking a walk on 520 occasions. They have accumulated 771 runs batted in in addition to 1,461 hits on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .265. The Blue Jays have accrued 294 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 191 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 798 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .333. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in the league.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.27. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 209 home runs and 721 runs in total (19th in the league). Toronto has yielded 1,313 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and 668 earned runs. The Blue Jays are sitting with a team ERA of 4.18 for the year (19th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,430 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 517 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.27 as a team on the season.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 570 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 254 base runners over the course of the season and 27.6% of those runners crossed home plate. They have recorded 42 saves so far this season and have blown 23 of their 65 chances to get a save. The Blue Jays relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 64.6% and have entered the game in 168 save situations. The relievers have a total of 96 holds so far this year (10th in baseball). Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 178 times in addition to having 156 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with 4,314 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,272 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which puts them in 18th in baseball, and have a total of 118 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,942 innings on the field, which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball.

Lauer has thrown 700 innings and is sitting with 669 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Lauer (45-39 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.08 while he has gone up against 3,003 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.14 (322 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.329. He has surrendered 675 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 256 walks.

New York has a total of 274 home runs on the year to go along with 820 runs batted in. They have 255 two-baggers, while walking 639 times and scoring 849 runs. The New York Yankees have accounted for an on-base percentage of .332 as well as a team batting average of .251 for the season. The Yankees have a team slugging % of .455 and they score 5.24 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have been rung up on 1,463 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,371 hits.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.248 and have a FIP of 4.00 as a team so far this year. They rank 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,239. The New York pitching staff have allowed 685 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.91 (625 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,440 strikeouts against 557 free passes). They have given up 175 HR's and they relinquish 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).

With 166 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 100 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 64 save chances and they have come away with 43 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 165 times in high leverage situations and also on 167 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.5% of 255 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 7th in the league holding a save rate of 67.2%, and they have sent 533 relievers onto the diamond this season.

The New York Yankees have turned 105 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in baseball). The Yankees have racked up 1,389 assists, 94 errors and have earned a total of 4,319 putouts so far this year. In 12,957 innings on the field, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (6th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Schlittler has allowed 58 hits while he has tallied 84 punch outs in 73 innings. Schlittler (4-3 career mark) holds a 2.96 earned run average and has given up 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has given up 24 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.219 and a FIP of 2.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.71 and he has faced 304 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+110)

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