Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-130) New York (+110)

The New York Yankees (77-62) are hosting the Toronto Blue Jays (81-59) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Toronto at -130 and New York is sitting at +110. The total is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Max Scherzer and Luis Gil.

As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 5.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 4th in the league. They have earned 704 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .339. The Blue Jays have earned 254 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 173 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 678 RBI's and 1,291 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .270. Toronto is slugging .435 and have been called out on strikes 949 times, while taking a walk on 457 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 189 home runs in addition to 642 total runs (21st in baseball). Toronto has conceded 1,143 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 591 earned runs. The Blue Jays have compiled a team ERA of 4.28 on the season (21st in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,244 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 441 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.34 as a squad on the season.

The Blue Jays relievers have a save rate of 62.9% and have entered the game in 153 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 215 base runners this year with 30.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 150 times in addition to having 142 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 489 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have earned 86 holds on the year (9th in the league). They have 39 saves this season and have blown 23 of their 62 chances to get a save.

The Blue Jays have turned 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,187 innings, ranking them 16th in the majors. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for 3,729 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,067 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 25th in the majors, and they have turned 100 double plays.

Scherzer has pitched in 2,948 frames and has earned 3,469 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.18 (1,042 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.079. He has allowed 2,409 base hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 772 walks. Scherzer (221-114 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.13 while he has faced 11,911 hitters in the majors.

New York has a total of 239 HRs on the year and 706 runs batted in. They have 225 two-baggers, while taking a walk 543 times and notching 733 runs. The New York Yankees have accounted for an OBP of .331 and a batting average of .251 on the year. The Yankees have a team SLG% of .458 and they average 5.27 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have struck out on 1,233 instances (6th in the league) and are sitting with 1,184 base knocks.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.258 and have a FIP of 4.00 as a team this season. They have a ranking of 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,069. The New York pitching staff have conceded 594 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.93 (539 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.10 (1,243 strikeouts vs 484 walks). They have allowed 150 homers and they surrender 4.33 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball).

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.2% out of 224 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 143 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with base runners. With 140 save situations, the Yankees have tallied 83 holds and also 21 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in MLB holding a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 459 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 56 save opportunities and they have earned 35 saves.

In their 11,112 innings on the field, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (9th in baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 95 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in pro baseball). The Yankees have racked up 1,194 assists, 77 errors and have a tally of 3,704 putouts over the course of the season.

Gil (18-9 career mark) is the owner of a 3.57 earned run average while giving up 6.6 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.08 and he has gone up against 915 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has allowed 85 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.280 and having a FIP of 3.5. During his career, Gil has given up 157 hits while accumulating 243 K's in 214 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-130)

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