Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-150) New York (+125)

The Toronto Blue Jays (81-59) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the New York Yankees (78-62). The line on this contest has the Blue Jays at -150 while the Yankees are at +125. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Chris Bassitt and Max Fried.

Toronto is slugging .435 and have been called out on strikes 949 times, while being walked on 457 occasions. They have accumulated 678 runs batted in in addition to 1,291 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is .270. The Blue Jays have accrued 254 two-baggers as a team and have hit 173 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 704 runs and have an on-base percentage of .339. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are recording 5.0 runs per outing, which ranks them 4th in the league.

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The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 4.28 for the year (21st in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,244 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 189 home runs and 642 total runs (20th in baseball). They have walked 441 opposing players and their FIP is 4.34 as a team so far this year. Toronto has conceded 1,143 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 591 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.82 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 489 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 215 runners so far this season and 30.2% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 39 saves on the season and have blown 23 of 62 save opportunities. The Blue Jays bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 62.9% and have come into the game in 153 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 86 holds over the course of the season (9th in MLB). Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 150 times and also have had 142 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned 3,729 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,067 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which has them ranked 25th in the majors, and have a total of 100 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,187 innings on the field, which has them ranked 15th in pro baseball.

Bassitt (83-63 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.60 and he has gone up against 5,348 batters in the majors. He has given up 1,171 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 403 free passes. His ERA is 3.65 (513 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.245. Bassitt has taken the hill for 1,264 innings and is sitting with 1,179 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Yankees have a SLG% of .458 and they are earning 5.29 runs per outing (1st in baseball). They have notched 225 doubles, while walking 550 times and scoring 741 runs. New York has accumulated 241 home runs this year as well as 714 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,241 occasions (6th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,193 base knocks. The New York Yankees have tallied an OBP of .331 as well as a batting average of .251 this season.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 598 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.92 (542 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 152 homers and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.260 in addition to having a FIP of 4.01 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,253 strikeouts against 487 bases on balls). They come in at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,079.

New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 27.0% out of their 226 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 145 times in high leverage situations and also on 148 occasions with base runners. With 142 save situations, the Yankees have accrued 85 holds and also 21 blown saves. They are ranked 17th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.5%, and they have sent 462 relievers to the hill this season. New York has had relievers enter the game in 56 save chances and they have come away with 35 saves.

The New York Yankees have turned 95 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in pro baseball). The Yankees have racked up 1,203 assists, 80 errors and have accumulated 3,731 putouts this season. Out of their 11,193 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (10th in the majors).

Fried (88-41 career win-loss record) holds a 3.06 ERA and has conceded 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.51 and he has gone up against 4,309 hitters during his career. He has surrendered 358 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.155 and a FIP of 3.0. In his pro baseball career, Fried has surrendered 925 base knocks while he has earned 1,022 strikeouts in 1,053 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-150)

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