Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 8/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-275) Pittsburgh (+220)

PNC Park is where the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-73) will try to defeat the Toronto Blue Jays (73-52) on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has Toronto at -275 while Pittsburgh is priced at +220. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Max Scherzer and Mitch Keller.

As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are recording 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 7th in MLB. They have earned 615 runs and have an on-base percentage of .338. The Blue Jays have hit 226 doubles as a unit and have smacked 148 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 591 RBI's in addition to 1,149 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .269. Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .430 and have struck out 837 times, while taking a walk on 412 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.77 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 170 home runs and also 562 total runs (22nd in MLB). Toronto has surrendered 1,002 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 523 earned runs. The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.25 on the campaign (23rd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,103 batters. They have walked 398 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.37 as a team so far this season.

Blue Jays pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 127 times as well as having 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 75 holds on the campaign (11th in baseball). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 64.8% and stepped onto the hill in 132 save situations. They have accumulated 35 saves on the year and have not converted 19 of their 54 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 185 base runners so far this year and 29.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Blue Jays have sent 431 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have notched a total of 3,326 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 927 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which puts them in 21st in professional baseball, and have earned 86 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 9,978 innings, which has them sitting at 12th in professional baseball.

Scherzer (219-114 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.12 while he has gone up against 11,845 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 2,392 base knocks (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 768 walks. His ERA is 3.17 (1,033 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.078. Scherzer has taken the hill for 2,932 innings and has accumulated 3,459 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned an OBP of .303 and a team batting average of .232 so far this season. They have struck out on 1,082 occasions (7th in the league) and have earned 962 base hits. Pittsburgh has a total of 88 HRs so far this season as well as 425 runs batted in. The Pirates hold a team slugging percentage of .346 and they score 3.51 runs per game (30th in baseball). They have hit 175 two-baggers, while taking a walk 395 times as well as notching 439 runs.

The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.242 and have a FIP of 3.96 as a unit this year. They sit at 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,000. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have relinquished 526 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.03 (494 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio is 7.90 (964 strikeouts against 369 free passes). They have given up 122 homers and they concede 4.30 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

Pittsburgh has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 46 save opportunities and they have recorded 25 saves. They are ranked 28th in the league holding a save percentage of 54.3%, and they have sent 389 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 123 times in high leverage situations and on 117 occasions with runners on base. Pittsburgh relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.2% out of their 183 inherited base runners. With 102 save situations, the Pirates have earned 54 holds in addition to 21 blown saves.

In their 9,918 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 89 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in baseball). The Pirates have accrued 1,038 assists, 59 errors and have a total of 3,306 putouts on the season.

So far in his MLB career, Keller has conceded 884 hits while tallying 799 K's in 842 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 423 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.390 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.78 and he has faced 3,670 batters in his career. Keller (41-61 career mark) has earned a 4.52 earned run average while allowing 9.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-275)

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