Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 10/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Wednesday, October 15, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+120) Seattle (-144)

The Seattle Mariners (90-72) are welcoming the Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) at T-Mobile Park on Wednesday in Game 3 of the ALCS. The Mariners lead the series 2-0. The line on this matchup has Toronto at +120 and Seattle is sitting at -144. The over/under has been set at 7. The starting pitchers will be Shane Bieber and George Kirby.

The Blue Jays have accounted for 294 doubles as a squad and have knocked 191 balls out of the park. Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .427 and have struck out 1,099 times, while drawing a walk on 520 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.9 runs per outing, which ranks them 4th in the league. They have amassed 771 runs batted in in addition to 1,461 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is .265. They have a total of 798 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .333.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.18 this year (19th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,430 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 209 home runs and 721 total runs (19th in MLB). They have walked 517 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.27 as a team on the year. Toronto has relinquished 1,313 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 668 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.6% and stepped onto the hill in 168 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 254 runners so far this season and 27.6% of those runners earned a run for their team. Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 178 times as well as having 156 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have dispatched 570 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen have recorded 96 holds so far this year (10th in MLB). They have compiled 42 saves on the campaign and have blown 23 of 65 chances to save the game.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated 4,314 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,272 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which has them ranked 18th in the majors, and have earned 118 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,942 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 14th in professional baseball.

Bieber has pitched in 883 innings and has accounted for 995 strikeouts thus far in his career. Bieber (66-34 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.19 and he has faced 3,574 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.24 (318 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.111. He has given up 786 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has 195 walks.

The Mariners hold a team slugging % of .420 and they are scoring 4.73 runs per contest (10th in baseball). They have put up 234 two-baggers, while getting a free base 544 times and notching 766 runs. Seattle has hit 238 HRs this year and 734 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,446 instances (6th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,345 base hits. The Seattle Mariners have tallied an OBP of .320 and a batting average of .244 for the year.

The Mariners have a team WHIP of 1.221 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (1,426 strikeouts against 454 bases on balls). They come in at 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,331. They have given up 192 long balls and they give up 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Seattle pitching staff have conceded 694 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.87 (629 earned runs yielded).

Seattle has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 69 save chances and they have come away with 43 saves. They sit at 19th in MLB with a save percentage of 62.3%, and they have dispatched 550 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 216 times in high leverage situations in addition to 132 occasions with runners on. Seattle bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 25.2% out of their 147 inherited runners. With 159 save situations, the Mariners have recorded 90 holds in addition to 26 blown saves.

The Seattle Mariners have gotten 118 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in baseball). The Mariners have accrued 1,355 assists, 69 errors and have a tally of 4,388 putouts this year. Out of their 13,164 innings on the field, the Mariners have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Kirby has surrendered 616 hits while he has accumulated 621 punch outs in 637 innings. He has given up a total of 254 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.113 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 6.68 and he has faced 2,601 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Kirby (45-34 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.59 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (+120)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here