Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 5/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+110) Seattle (-132)

The Seattle Mariners (22-14) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (17-20) at T-Mobile Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at +110 while Seattle is opening at -132. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jose Urena and Bryce Miller.

The Blue Jays have tallied 62 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 26 baseballs out of the park. Toronto has a slugging % of .359 and have struck out 274 times, while taking a walk on 118 occasions. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 3.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 25th in the league. They have compiled 129 runs batted in and 303 hits for the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .245. They have a total of 135 runs scored and have an OBP of .315.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.93 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 55 home runs and also 171 runs (20th in baseball). Toronto has yielded 299 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 161 earned runs. The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.38 over the course of the season (23rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 346 hitters. They have walked 118 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.43 as a team so far this year.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 57.9% and have come into the game in 41 save situations. The relievers have inherited 58 base runners this year with 20.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Blue Jays pitchers have entered the game with players on base 45 times as well as having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have dispatched 128 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have notched 22 holds on the year (18th in the league). They have earned 11 saves so far this season and have not converted 8 of their 19 save opportunities.

The Blue Jays have converted 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,976 innings on the field, ranking them 13th in pro baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have 992 putouts for the season, as well as 287 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which puts them in 16th in the majors, and have earned 25 double plays.

Urena has taken the mound for 955 frames and is sitting with 640 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Urena (44-77 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.72 while going up against 4,145 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.80 (509 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.405. He has given up 986 base hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) with 356 walks.

Seattle has a total of 51 HRs on the season as well as 177 runs batted in. They have notched 49 doubles, while taking a walk 156 times as well as recording 185 runs. The Seattle Mariners are sitting with an on-base percentage of .340 as well as a team batting average of .247 on the season. The Mariners hold a slugging percentage of .415 and they have an average of 5.14 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have struck out on 306 occasions (16th in MLB) and have accounted for 302 base knocks.

The Seattle pitching staff have given up 154 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.76 (137 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 32 home runs and they allow 4.22 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Mariners have a team WHIP of 1.310 in addition to having a FIP of 3.78 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.10 (294 strikeouts vs 122 walks). They rank 17th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 308.

With 40 save situations, the Mariners have compiled 21 holds and also 5 blown saves. Seattle has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 19 save chances and they have earned 14 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 52 times in high leverage situations and on 30 occasions with runners on. Seattle relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.0% out of 31 inherited base runners. They sit at 5th in MLB with a save rate of 73.7%, and they have sent 130 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

In their 2,958 innings played, the Mariners are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (18th in the majors). The Seattle Mariners have gotten 27 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in professional baseball). The Mariners have racked up 336 assists, 15 errors and are sitting with 986 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, Miller has allowed 287 base hits while he has totaled 322 K's in 345 innings pitched. He has surrendered 138 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.091 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.58 and he has gone up against 1,390 hitters during his MLB career. Miller (22-18 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.60 earned run average while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (-132)

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