Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 6/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+162) St. Louis (-196)

Busch Stadium is where the St. Louis Cardinals (36-30) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (36-30) on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Blue Jays at +162 while the Cardinals are priced at -196. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Eric Lauer and Matthew Liberatore.

The Blue Jays have accumulated 117 two-baggers as a team and have hit 67 balls out of the park. Toronto is slugging .399 and have been rung up 451 times, while drawing a walk on 222 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in MLB. They have 271 RBI's as well as 563 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is at .253. They have 281 runs while holding a team OBP of .324.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 91 long balls and also 281 runs in total (18th in MLB). Toronto has surrendered 520 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) and 263 earned runs. The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 4.01 so far this year (20th in the league), and their staff has rung up 595 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 198 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.21 as a squad this year.

Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 66 times in addition to having 60 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 37 holds for the season (18th in MLB). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 65.6% and have entered the game in 69 save situations. They have compiled 21 saves so far this year and have blown 11 out of their 32 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 88 base runners on the year and 25.0% of those players crossed the plate. The Blue Jays have dispatched 222 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for 1,769 putouts so far this season, as well as 514 assists and 30 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which puts them in 12th in the majors, and have a total of 45 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs in their 5,307 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 11th in MLB.

Lauer (38-38 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.15 while he has faced 2,676 opposing batters in the majors. He has conceded 599 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 239 walks. His earned run average is 4.21 (291 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.347. Lauer has pitched in 622 innings and has earned 591 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Cardinals hold a team SLG% of .393 and they are scoring 4.62 runs per game (8th in the league). They have hit 120 two-baggers, while getting a free base 213 times as well as recording 305 runs. St. Louis has tallied 59 home runs this season to go along with 290 RBIs. They have been rung up on 513 instances (23rd in the league) and have earned 576 base hits. The St. Louis Cardinals have compiled an on-base percentage of .327 and a team batting average of .257 so far this season.

The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.269 in addition to having a FIP of 3.69 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.20 (469 strikeouts against 183 free passes). They sit at 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 561. They have given up 53 long balls and they yield 4.27 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 278 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.87 (252 earned runs relinquished).

St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 28 save opportunities and they have come away with 17 saves. They are currently ranked 19th in MLB with a save rate of 60.7%, and they have sent 199 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 81 times in high leverage situations and also on 66 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.8% out of 87 inherited base runners. Sitting with 73 save situations, the Cardinals have compiled 42 holds in addition to 11 blown saves.

The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 47 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in MLB). The Cardinals have recorded 639 assists, 25 errors and have accounted for 1,760 putouts on the campaign. In their 5,280 innings played, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (14th in professional baseball).

Liberatore (11-17 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.68 ERA and has conceded 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and he has gone up against 1,075 hitters thus far in his career. He has conceded a total of 130 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.347 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. So far in his career, Liberatore has surrendered 256 base hits while he has totaled 208 punch outs in 250 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take St. Louis (-196) and under 8 runs

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