Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+125) Atlanta (-150)

The Atlanta Braves (18-19) welcome the Washington Nationals (17-21) at Truist Park on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Nationals at +125 while the Braves are sitting at -150. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jake Irvin and Grant Holmes.

Washington owns a slugging percentage of .386 and have been called out on strikes 304 times, while being walked on 120 occasions. They have compiled 159 runs batted in and 307 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .242. The Nationals have hit 56 doubles as a team and have smacked 38 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 168 runs scored and hold an OBP of .314. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.16 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.45. Nationals pitchers have allowed 39 home runs and also 205 total runs (28th in MLB). Washington has surrendered 339 hits (9.2 per 9 innings) as well as 198 earned runs. The Nationals have an ERA of 5.37 on the season (27th in MLB), and they have struck out 304 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 141 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.30 as a squad on the season.

The Nationals relievers have recorded a save percentage of 66.7% and have entered the game in 36 save situations. The relievers have inherited 75 base runners this year and 50.7% of those players ended up scoring. Nationals pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 42 times in addition to having 29 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 128 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen have racked up 18 holds on the campaign (23rd in MLB). They have earned 12 saves on the campaign and have not converted 6 of 18 chances to get a save.

The Nationals have converted 67.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,985 innings, which ranks them 24th in the majors. The Washington Nationals have earned 995 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 325 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which ranks 6th in baseball, and have accumulated 25 double plays.

Irvin (15-22 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.36 and he has gone up against 1,495 opposing hitters in the majors. He has conceded 332 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 120 walks. His earned run average is 4.42 (175 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.269. Irvin has taken the mound for 356 innings and is sitting with 288 strikeouts during his career.

Atlanta has compiled 41 home runs on the campaign as well as 143 RBIs. They have hit 52 doubles, while taking a walk 125 times and notching 149 runs. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for an on-base percentage of .312 as well as a team batting average of .240 over the course of the season. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .386 and they are earning 4.03 runs per game (18th in the league). They have been rung up on 322 occasions (10th in the league) and have tallied 300 base hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.251 in addition to having a FIP of 4.19 as a staff for the year. They rank 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 281. The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 150 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.00 (145 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.90 (323 strikeouts vs 127 bases on balls). They have surrendered 45 long balls and they relinquish 4.14 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Sitting with 27 save situations, the Braves have amassed 14 holds and also 6 blown saves. Atlanta has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 13 save opportunities and they have walked away with 7 saves. Their relievers have come in 46 times in high leverage situations and on 38 occasions with base runners. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.0% out of their 50 inherited base runners. They are ranked 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 53.8%, and they have dispatched 117 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 26 double plays and have a fielding rate of .990 (1st in MLB). The Braves have 329 assists, 13 errors and have notched a total of 979 putouts this season. In 2,937 innings on the field, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (8th in the majors).

In his career, Holmes has surrendered 95 base hits and he has 110 punch outs in 107 innings pitched. Holmes (4-4 mark in his career) has earned a 3.95 earned run average while conceding 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 47 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.213 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.14 and he has faced 445 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-150)

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