Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 5/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Friday, May 16, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (-130) Baltimore (+110)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the location where the Baltimore Orioles (15-26) will meet the Washington Nationals (18-26) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Nationals at -130 and the Orioles are sitting at +110. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be MacKenzie Gore and Cade Povich.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 19th in MLB. They have earned a total of 181 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .308. The Nationals have tallied 64 doubles as a team and have hit 42 balls out of the park. They have earned 171 RBI's and 349 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average is sitting at .239. Washington has a slugging rate of .378 and have been called out on strikes 347 times, while drawing a walk on 131 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.15 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.46. Nationals pitchers have given up 44 home runs and 238 runs in total (28th in the league). Washington has yielded 395 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) as well as 230 earned runs. The Nationals are sitting with a team ERA of 5.39 this year (28th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 353 hitters. They have walked 164 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.27 as a squad this season.

The Nationals have dispatched 149 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 89 runners on the campaign with 47.2% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 13 saves for the year and have not converted 6 of 19 save opportunities. The Nationals bullpen have a save rate of 68.4% and stepped onto the hill in 37 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 18 holds this year (26th in baseball). Nationals pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 50 times as well as having 32 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Washington Nationals are sitting with 1,152 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 368 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which puts them in 10th in MLB, and have a total of 28 double plays. The Nationals have converted 67.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,456 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 27th in pro baseball.

Gore (23-30 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.07 while he has gone up against 1,835 opposing hitters in the majors. He has allowed 416 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 175 walks. His ERA is 4.14 (195 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.393. Gore has thrown 424 innings and is sitting with 479 punch outs in his MLB career.

The Baltimore Orioles have recorded an on-base percentage of .296 and a team batting average of .227 this year. They have struck out on 360 instances (13th in baseball) and are sitting with 304 base knocks. Baltimore has tallied 49 home runs so far this season as well as 147 runs batted in. The Orioles hold a slugging % of .384 and they earn 3.80 runs per game (24th in the league). They have 52 doubles, while walking 119 times and scoring 156 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have yielded 226 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 5.37 (212 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 63 long balls and they surrender 5.73 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball). The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.493 and have a FIP of 5.02 as a staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.70 (303 strikeouts against 143 bases on balls). They come in at 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 387.

Baltimore relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 27.0% out of 63 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 31 times in high leverage situations in addition to 47 occasions with runners on base. With 37 save situations, the Orioles have recorded 25 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. They are ranked 2nd in the league with a save rate of 77.8%, and they have dispatched 142 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 9 save opportunities and they have come away with 7 saves.

Out of their 3,195 innings played, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (26th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 33 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). The Orioles have accrued 376 assists, 22 errors and are sitting with 1,065 putouts for the season.

In his MLB career, Povich has surrendered 123 base knocks and he has 98 strikeouts in 114 frames. Povich (4-12 career record) holds a 5.35 earned run average and has surrendered 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 68 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.477 and a FIP of 5.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.13 and he has faced 510 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+110)

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