Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 5/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (-152) Baltimore (+126)

The Washington Nationals (18-27) are hitting the road to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday where they will go up against the Baltimore Orioles (15-27). The odds on this game have Washington at -152 and Baltimore is at +126. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Michael Soroka and Zach Eflin.

The Nationals have accumulated 66 doubles as a team and have knocked 43 baseballs out of the stadium. Washington has a slugging percentage of .377 and have been called out on strikes 353 times, while being walked on 134 occasions. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are recording 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 19th in MLB. They have accounted for 172 runs batted in as well as 355 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .238. They have 183 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .308.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.18 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.45. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 44 home runs and also 243 runs in total (27th in baseball). Washington has relinquished 404 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 234 earned runs. The Nationals hold a team earned run average of 5.37 for the year (28th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 360 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 165 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.22 as a unit over the course of the season.

Nationals relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 52 times in addition to having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 18 holds for the year (26th in baseball). The Nationals relievers have earned a save percentage of 68.4% and have entered the game in 37 save situations. They have accumulated 13 saves this season and have blown 6 out of their 19 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 93 runners on the campaign and 46.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Nationals have sent 153 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Nationals have converted 67.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,528 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 28th in baseball. The Washington Nationals have 1,176 putouts on the campaign, as well as 373 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which is 11th in the majors, and have 28 double plays.

Soroka (17-20 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.73 while he has faced 1,422 batters in the majors. He has conceded 310 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 115 walks. His ERA is 3.79 (143 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.250. Soroka has pitched in 340 frames and has accumulated 299 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Orioles have a team SLG% of .381 and they have an average of 3.71 runs per game (25th in the league). They have tallied 54 two-baggers, while walking 120 times as well as recording 156 runs. Baltimore is sitting with 49 home runs on the campaign as well as 147 runs batted in. They have struck out on 366 instances (14th in the league) and have tallied 310 base knocks. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for a team OBP of .295 in addition to a team batting average of .226 this season.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.484 and have a FIP of 5.02 as a staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.70 (310 strikeouts against 146 walks). They come in at 27th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 394. They have conceded 65 homers and they allow 5.69 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 230 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 5.34 (216 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 37 save situations, the Orioles have 25 holds and also 2 blown saves. Baltimore has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 9 save chances and they have converted 7 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 31 times in high leverage situations and also on 48 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score rate of 26.6% of 64 inherited runners. They sit at 2nd in the league with a save rate of 77.8%, and they have sent 144 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have turned 34 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Orioles have accrued 385 assists, 22 errors and have accounted for 1,092 putouts during this campaign. In 3,276 innings played, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (25th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Eflin has surrendered 1,037 base hits and he has 885 punch outs in 1,025 innings. He has allowed 472 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.217 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 4.19 and he has gone up against 4,281 hitters in his MLB career. Eflin (65-63 career mark) has earned a 4.14 earned run average while giving up 9.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+126)

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