Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+172) Cincinnati (-210)

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (16-15) will try to beat the Washington Nationals (13-18) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Nationals at +172 and the Reds are at -210. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Mitchell Parker and Nick Lodolo.

As a unit, the Washington Nationals are compiling 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 17th in the league. They have earned a total of 131 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .306. The Nationals have accounted for 42 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 33 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 124 runs batted in and 246 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is .240. Washington has a slugging % of .389 and have been called out on strikes 246 times, while being walked on 91 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.26 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.43. Nationals pitchers have allowed 33 home runs in addition to 164 total runs (27th in MLB). Washington has yielded 274 base hits (9.2 per 9 innings) as well as 158 earned runs. The Nationals have an ERA of 5.27 for the season (27th in the league), and they have rung up 253 batters. They have walked 112 batters and their FIP is 4.28 as a team for the year.

Nationals pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 35 times and also have had 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 13 holds on the year (24th in the league). The Nationals relievers have earned a save percentage of 64.3% and stepped onto the hill in 27 save situations. They have earned 9 saves on the campaign and have blown 5 of their 14 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 64 base runners over the course of the season with 46.9% of them crossed the plate. The Nationals have sent 103 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Nationals have turned 67.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,427 innings on the field, which ranks them 23rd in the majors. The Washington Nationals are sitting with 809 putouts this season, in addition to 266 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which is 11th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 21 double plays.

Parker has taken the ball for 188 innings and has earned 153 K's during his career. Parker (10-11 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.91 while he has faced 800 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.97 (83 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.271. He has surrendered 180 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 59 walks.

Cincinnati has recorded 33 HRs this season and 148 runs batted in. They have hit 49 doubles, while getting a free base 110 times as well as putting up 154 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have compiled an on-base percentage of .326 as well as a team batting average of .248 over the course of the season. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .393 and they have an average of 4.97 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 264 occasions (11th in the league) and have tallied 260 hits.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.105 in addition to having a FIP of 4.38 as a unit this season. They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 211. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 125 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.64 (111 earned runs yielded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (247 strikeouts against 92 free passes). They have yielded 42 long balls and they relinquish 4.10 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.0% out of their 36 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 29 times in high leverage situations and on 23 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 40 save situations, the Reds have earned 25 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They sit at 12th in baseball with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 100 relievers onto the field for the year. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 14 save opportunities and they have earned 10 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 15 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in MLB). The Reds have recorded 224 assists, 17 errors and have accounted for 823 putouts for the season. Out of their 2,469 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 75.4% (1st in baseball).

Lodolo (18-16 career record) is the owner of a 4.24 ERA while conceding 8.3 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.59 and he has faced 1,243 batters during his pro baseball career. He has given up 136 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.239 and a FIP of 4.2. So far in his MLB career, Lodolo has given up 267 hits while he has earned 327 punch outs in 289 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+172)

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