Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+220) Houston (-275)

The Houston Astros (60-46) welcome the Washington Nationals (43-62) at Daikin Park on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Nationals at +220 and the Astros are sitting at -275. The total is 8. The starting pitchers are Michael Soroka and Jason Alexander.

Washington is slugging .389 and have struck out 798 times, while drawing a walk on 299 occasions. They have accrued 430 RBI's in addition to 854 hits on the season, and their batting average sits at .244. The Nationals have accumulated 171 two-baggers as a team and have hit 101 balls out of the park. They have tallied 449 runs scored and hold an OBP of .310. As a unit, the Washington Nationals are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 18th in the league.

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The Nationals hold a team ERA of 5.14 on the season (29th in the league), and they have rung up 791 batters. Nationals pitchers have given up 121 home runs and also 554 total runs (28th in the league). They have walked 350 opposing players and their FIP is 4.44 as a unit for the year. Washington has allowed 938 base hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and 522 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.26 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.41.

The Nationals relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 58.8% and have come into the game in 77 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 189 base runners so far this year and 39.7% of those runners crossed home plate. Nationals relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 110 times and also have had 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 363 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have 42 holds for the year (29th in baseball). They have tallied 20 saves so far this season and have not converted 14 of their 34 save chances.

The Washington Nationals have notched a total of 2,743 putouts for the season, in addition to 880 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 15th in MLB, and have accumulated 80 double plays. The Nationals have turned 68.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,229 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 28th in MLB.

Soroka has pitched in 404 innings and is sitting with 367 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.90 (175 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.225. He has allowed 360 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 135 walks. Soroka (20-26 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.84 while he has gone up against 1,691 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Astros hold a team slugging percentage of .406 and they average 4.33 runs per game (15th in baseball). They have 158 doubles, while walking 308 times and racking up 455 runs. Houston has knocked in 116 home runs so far this year as well as 433 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 832 occasions (20th in the league) and have earned 912 base hits. The Houston Astros have compiled an OBP of .322 as well as a team batting average of .257 for the season.

The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.191 in addition to having a FIP of 3.77 as a unit this season. They rank 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 800. The Houston pitching staff have conceded 410 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.70 (384 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is 9.70 (1,006 strikeouts against 314 walks). They have allowed 122 dingers and they yield 3.95 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league).

Sitting with 114 save situations, the Astros have 68 holds and also 12 blown saves. Houston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 45 save chances and they have walked away with 33 saves. Their relievers have come in 107 times in high leverage situations in addition to 74 occasions with base runners. Houston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 27.2% out of 103 inherited runners. They are ranked 2nd in baseball holding a save percentage of 73.3%, and they have sent 325 relievers to the mound so far this year.

In their 8,415 innings on the field, the Astros hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in professional baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 68 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in professional baseball). The Astros have accrued 822 assists, 46 errors and have a tally of 2,805 putouts this season.

Alexander (3-4 win-loss mark in his career) has a 6.05 earned run average while surrendering 11.3 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.50 and he has gone up against 425 batters so far in his career. He has allowed 62 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.692 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.0. During his pro baseball career, Alexander has given up 116 hits and he has 60 K's in 92 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-275)

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