Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+110) Milwaukee (-132)

The Washington Nationals (38-55) are hitting the road to American Family Field on Saturday where they will go up against the Milwaukee Brewers (53-40). The moneyline on this game has the Nationals at +110 while the Brewers are sitting at -132. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Shinnosuke Ogasawara and Brandon Woodruff.

As a team, the Washington Nationals are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, which puts them at 16th in baseball. They have tallied 408 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .312. The Nationals have hit 151 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 90 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 391 runs batted in and 771 base knocks this season, while their batting average sits at .246. Washington is slugging .389 and have been called out on strikes 700 times, while being walked on 272 occasions.

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The Nationals have an ERA of 5.15 so far this season (28th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 728 batters. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 114 long balls and 497 runs in total (28th in baseball). They have walked 309 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.45 as a unit over the course of the season. Washington has allowed 838 base hits (9.2 per 9 innings) as well as 469 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.40.

The Nationals have sent 317 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 173 runners so far this season with 42.2% of them crossed the plate. They have earned 19 saves for the year and have blown 13 of their 32 save chances. The Nationals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 59.4% and stepped onto the hill in 69 save situations. The relievers have 37 holds over the course of the season (28th in the league). Nationals relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 100 times and also have had 72 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Nationals have converted 68.3% of balls in play into outs out of 7,371 innings on the field, which has them sitting 27th in the majors. The Washington Nationals have 2,457 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 779 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them ranked 21st in professional baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays.

Ogasawara (0-1 career mark) has a FIP of 16.12 while he has gone up against 16 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 7 base knocks (28.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 0 free passes. His earned run average is 16.36 (4 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 3.182. Ogasawara has thrown 2 innings and has earned 2 K's in his career.

The Brewers have a team slugging % of .380 and they tally 4.68 runs per game (8th in the league). They have 131 doubles, while taking a walk 319 times and putting up 435 runs. Milwaukee has 89 HRs for the season to go along with 404 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 745 occasions (19th in the league) and have accounted for 768 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have tallied a team OBP of .322 and a team batting average of .247 so far this season.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 367 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.68 (338 earned runs allowed). They have yielded 97 homers and they surrender 4.00 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.258 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a team for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (801 strikeouts vs 313 walks). They come in at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 726.

Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.8% out of 130 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 106 times in high leverage situations and on 86 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 100 save situations, the Brewers have earned 62 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They are ranked 6th in the league holding a save percentage of 69.4%, and they have sent 325 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 36 save chances and they have converted 25 saves.

In 7,437 innings on the field, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 65 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (17th in pro baseball). The Brewers have accrued 733 assists, 45 errors and have accumulated 2,479 putouts over the course of the season.

In his career, Woodruff has conceded 537 hits while totaling 796 punch outs in 686 innings pitched. Woodruff (47-26 career win-loss mark) has a 3.08 ERA while giving up 7.0 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 235 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.039 and a FIP of 3.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.52 and he has faced 2,747 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-132) and under 8.5 runs

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