Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+106) New York (-128)

The New York Mets (42-24) will play the Washington Nationals (30-35) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Nationals at +106 and the Mets open at -128. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Jake Irvin and David Peterson.

Washington is slugging .386 and have been rung up 496 times, while taking a walk on 180 occasions. They have 262 RBI's as well as 513 hits on the campaign, and their batting average is .239. The Nationals have compiled 107 two-baggers as a team and have hit 63 balls out of the park. They have 275 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .306. As a team, the Washington Nationals are compiling 4.2 runs per contest, which puts them at 18th in baseball.

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The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.89 this season (26th in the league), and the staff has rung up 515 hitters. Nationals pitchers have conceded 63 home runs and also 326 runs (24th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 221 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.08 as a unit this season. Washington has yielded 568 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 311 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.33 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.38.

Nationals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 71 times as well as having 49 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 29 holds for the season (28th in the league). The Nationals relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 70.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 56 save situations. They have accumulated 19 saves for the year and have not converted 8 of 27 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 128 runners over the course of the season and 40.6% of those players ended up scoring. The Nationals have dispatched 222 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Nationals have transformed 68.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,148 innings on the field, which has them ranked 22nd in the majors. The Washington Nationals have a tally of 1,716 putouts on the year, in addition to 547 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which ranks 22nd in MLB, and have earned 46 double plays.

Irvin has taken the hill for 386 frames and is sitting with 305 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Irvin (18-23 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.34 while he has gone up against 1,627 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.40 (189 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.276. He has given up 365 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 128 walks.

The New York Mets have tallied an on-base percentage of .332 as well as a batting average of .249 for the season. They have been rung up on 508 occasions (24th in MLB) and have earned a total of 550 hits. New York has hit 83 HRs on the season to go along with 296 RBIs. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .424 and they score 4.62 runs per contest (7th in the league). They have recorded 111 two-baggers, while getting a free base 243 times and recording 305 runs.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 217 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 2.85 (186 earned runs yielded). They have given up 46 dingers and they relinquish 3.32 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.236 with a FIP of 3.40 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (590 strikeouts against 233 walks). They are sitting at 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 494.

Sitting with 83 save situations, the Mets have accrued 50 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 33 save opportunities and they have earned 21 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 89 times in high leverage situations and on 62 occasions with runners on base. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 25.0% of 92 inherited runners. They sit at 14th in MLB holding a save rate of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 205 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The New York Mets have turned 54 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (16th in MLB). The Mets have 587 assists, 32 errors and have a tally of 1,765 putouts this year. In 5,295 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (15th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Peterson has allowed 491 base knocks while he has accumulated 529 punch outs in 524 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 228 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.360 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has faced 2,247 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Peterson (32-26 career record) has earned a 3.91 earned run average while surrendering 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+106)

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