Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, September 19, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+172) New York (-210)

The Washington Nationals (62-91) are en route to Citi Field on Friday where they will try to beat the New York Mets (78-74). The odds on this game have the Nationals at +172 and the Mets are coming in at -210. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Andrew Alvarez and Brandon Sproat.

As a team, the Washington Nationals are recording 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 25th in MLB. They have notched a total of 647 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .306. The Nationals have tallied 249 doubles as a squad and have knocked 143 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 621 runs batted in and 1,243 hits this season, and their team batting average comes in at .243. Washington is slugging .386 and have been called out on strikes 1,253 times, while being walked on 425 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.19 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.44. Nationals pitchers have given up 198 home runs and 842 runs (29th in MLB). Washington has conceded 1,401 base knocks (9.4 per 9 innings) and 796 earned runs. The Nationals have compiled a team ERA of 5.33 for the year (29th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,166 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 533 hitters and their FIP is 4.70 as a unit for the year.

The Nationals have dispatched 545 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 254 runners for the year and 40.2% of those players earned a run for their team. They have earned 33 saves so far this year and have not converted 18 of their 51 chances to save the game. The Nationals relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 64.7% and stepped onto the hill in 121 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 69 holds on the year (25th in the league). Nationals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 151 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Washington Nationals have notched a total of 4,030 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,318 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which ranks 22nd in the majors, and they have turned 125 double plays. The Nationals have turned 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,090 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 28th in pro baseball.

Alvarez has pitched in 15 innings and has racked up 11 K's in his pro baseball career. Alvarez (1-0 record in his career) holds a FIP of 1.17 and he has faced 62 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 1.18 (2 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 0.855. He has allowed 7 base hits (4.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 6 walks.

The Mets hold a team SLG% of .429 and they have an average of 4.71 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have 247 two-baggers, while taking a walk 529 times and scoring 716 runs. New York has hit 211 home runs for the year as well as 698 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,239 instances (22nd in the league) and have tallied 1,276 hits. The New York Mets have accumulated an OBP of .327 and a team batting average of .250 on the season.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.337 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.94 as a pitching staff on the season. They are currently ranked 17th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,262. The New York pitching staff have yielded 668 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.03 (601 earned runs given up). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (1,295 strikeouts vs 534 walks). They have conceded 140 dingers and they allow 4.48 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

With 157 save situations, the Mets have 92 holds and also 27 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 65 save opportunities and they have earned 38 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 178 times in high leverage situations and on 162 occasions with runners on base. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.7% out of 242 inherited base runners. They rank 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 58.5%, and they have sent 495 relievers onto the field this season.

In their 12,087 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (24th in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 115 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,374 assists, 70 errors and have a total of 4,029 putouts this season.

In his MLB career, Sproat has surrendered 9 base hits and he has 10 K's in 12 frames. He has allowed a total of 3 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.083 and a FIP of 2.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and he has faced 47 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Sproat (0-1 career record) has earned a 2.25 ERA while conceding 6.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+172)

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