Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+110) Philadelphia (-132)

The Washington Nationals (13-17) are en route to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (16-13). The moneyline on this matchup has the Nationals at +110 while the Phillies open at -132. The betting total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Brad Lord and Taijuan Walker.

As a team, the Washington Nationals are knocking in 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. They have notched a total of 129 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .307. The Nationals have earned 41 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 33 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accrued 122 RBI's as well as 241 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate sits at .242. Washington has a slugging percentage of .395 and have struck out 234 times, while being walked on 88 occasions.

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The Nationals hold a team earned run average of 5.19 over the course of the season (27th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 251 batters. Nationals pitchers have relinquished 30 home runs and also 157 total runs (26th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 109 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.15 as a team so far this season. Washington has surrendered 264 base knocks (9.1 per 9 innings) as well as 151 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.30 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.43.

The Nationals relievers have a save rate of 64.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 27 save situations. The relievers have inherited 64 base runners on the campaign and 46.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. Nationals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 35 times in addition to having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 101 relievers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have accumulated 13 holds this season (24th in the league). They have accumulated 9 saves for the season and have not converted 5 of their 14 save opportunities.

The Washington Nationals have 785 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 254 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 10th in baseball, and have a total of 20 double plays. The Nationals have transformed 67.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,355 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 24th in professional baseball.

Lord has taken the mound for 17 innings and has totaled 13 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.74 (9 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.754. He has given up 21 hits (11.1 hits per nine innings) and has 9 walks. Lord (0-3 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.67 and he has gone up against 78 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an on-base percentage of .336 as well as a batting average of .249 on the year. They have been rung up on 239 occasions (19th in MLB) and have accounted for 244 base hits. Philadelphia has knocked in 24 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 122 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .378 and they are recording 4.52 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have put up 44 doubles, while walking 121 times as well as scoring 131 runs.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.321 in addition to having a FIP of 3.65 as a squad for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.90 (285 strikeouts vs 86 walks). They come in at 22nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 255. They have surrendered 33 long balls and they relinquish 4.53 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 130 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.08 (117 earned runs conceded).

Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 44.0% out of 25 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 32 times in high leverage situations in addition to 18 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 33 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 16 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They are currently ranked 26th in the league holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 94 relief pitchers onto the field for the season. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 16 save chances and they have tallied 8 saves.

Out of their 2,328 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 66.9% (28th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 20 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (11th in MLB). The Phillies have accrued 244 assists, 13 errors and have 776 putouts for the year.

Walker (73-65 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.17 ERA and has given up 8.4 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.54 and he has gone up against 4,985 batters during his career. He has allowed 545 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.277 and a FIP of 4.1. In his MLB career, Walker has allowed 1,100 base knocks while totaling 1,022 K's in 1,176 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-132)

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