Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 8/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-160) Cleveland (+132)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (57-52) are traveling to Progressive Field on Saturday where they will compete against the Cleveland Guardians (56-54). The odds on this game have the Diamondbacks at -160 while the Guardians are opening at +132. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Kohl Drake and Parker Messick.

Arizona has a slugging percentage of .393 and have been called out on strikes 792 times, while drawing a walk on 359 occasions. They have tallied 468 runs batted in as well as 883 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average sits at .242. The Diamondbacks have tallied 191 doubles as a unit and have knocked 104 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 492 runs and have an OBP of .313. As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 4.5 runs/g, which puts them at 13th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.33 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.29. Diamondbacks pitchers have given up 131 home runs in addition to 492 total runs (18th in baseball). Arizona has given up 936 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 451 earned runs. The Diamondbacks have compiled a team earned run average of 4.20 for the season (17th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 737 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 316 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.45 as a unit on the campaign.

The Diamondbacks have sent 363 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 139 runners over the course of the season with 24.5% of those players earned a run for their team. The relief pitchers have 66 holds on the season (9th in the league). Diamondbacks relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 96 times and also have had 121 appearances in high leverage situations. They have 28 saves this season and have blown 14 of 42 save opportunities. The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 109 save situations.

The Diamondbacks have converted 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,703 innings on the field, which has them ranked 6th in MLB. The Arizona Diamondbacks have 2,901 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 961 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which has them sitting 3rd in pro baseball, and they have turned 95 double plays.

Drake (0-0 career record) holds a FIP of 4.93 and he has faced 40 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 9 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 4 walks. His ERA is 5.00 (5 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.444. Drake has taken the ball for 9 innings and has racked up 6 punch outs in his MLB career.

Cleveland is sitting with 106 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 414 RBIs. They have hit 164 two-baggers, while walking 394 times and recording 432 runs. The Cleveland Guardians hold a team on-base percentage of .310 as well as a batting average of .230 this year. The Guardians have a SLG% of .369 and they are earning 3.93 runs per game (30th in baseball). They have been rung up on 913 instances (15th in MLB) and have earned 837 hits.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.263 and have a FIP of 3.83 as a unit over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (1,016 strikeouts against 357 walks). They rank 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 873. They have conceded 121 long balls and they relinquish 4.12 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 446 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.73 (404 earned runs surrendered).

They are ranked 2nd in MLB holding a save percentage of 77.3%, and they have sent 371 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 134 times in high leverage situations and on 108 occasions with runners on. With 133 save situations, the Guardians have 87 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Cleveland has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 44 save chances and they have converted 34 saves. Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 25.5% out of their 165 inherited base runners.

Out of their 8,772 innings on the diamond, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in the majors). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 74 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in professional baseball). The Guardians have accrued 856 assists, 56 errors and have earned a total of 2,924 putouts so far this year.

So far in his career, Messick has allowed 140 base knocks while tallying 160 strikeouts in 164 innings. Messick (11-7 career record) has earned a 2.63 ERA and has conceded 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up 48 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.108 and a FIP of 2.6. His K/BB ratio is 3.81 and he has faced 661 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (+132)

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