Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 7/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+106) Los Angeles (-128)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (61-33) are welcoming the Arizona Diamondbacks (46-47) at Dodger Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has Arizona at +106 and Los Angeles is coming in at -128. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Brandon Pfaadt and Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

The Diamondbacks have compiled 156 two-baggers as a team and have hit 84 balls out of the park. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .383 and have been called out on strikes 673 times, while drawing a walk on 290 occasions. As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in MLB. They have earned 377 RBI's in addition to 732 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .237. They have accounted for 393 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .307.

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The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team ERA of 4.26 on the year (17th in baseball), and they have rung up 634 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed 113 home runs and 421 total runs (16th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 267 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.47 as a unit over the course of the season. Arizona has allowed 784 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 388 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28.

The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have a save percentage of 70.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 85 save situations. They have accumulated 24 saves so far this season and have blown 10 of their 34 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 113 runners this year and 27.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. Diamondbacks relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 80 times and also have had 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 301 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen have racked up 50 holds for the year (15th in MLB).

The Arizona Diamondbacks have earned a total of 2,459 putouts on the year, as well as 818 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which ranks 3rd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 78 double plays. The Diamondbacks have converted 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,377 innings, which has them ranked 6th in professional baseball.

Pfaadt has taken the mound for 502 frames and has accounted for 465 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 5.11 (285 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.314. He has conceded 537 base knocks (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 123 walks. Pfaadt (29-29 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 5.03 while going up against 2,157 hitters in the major leagues.

The Dodgers hold a slugging percentage of .437 and they average 5.30 runs per contest (2nd in the league). They have put up 158 two-baggers, while getting a free base 383 times as well as notching 498 runs. Los Angeles has knocked in 124 home runs so far this year to go along with 468 runs batted in. They have struck out on 736 occasions (25th in the league) and have notched a total of 836 hits. The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned an on-base percentage of .346 as well as a team batting average of .264 on the campaign.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.132 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.80 as a team over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 1st in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 662. The Los Angeles pitching staff have surrendered 334 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.48 (321 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (837 strikeouts vs 279 free passes). They have allowed 100 dingers and they give up 3.62 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

Los Angeles relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.0% out of 94 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 86 times in high leverage situations in addition to 58 occasions with base runners. With 96 save situations, the Dodgers have accumulated 60 holds and 10 blown saves. They are currently ranked 8th in baseball holding a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 298 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have gotten 55 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .991 (1st in pro baseball). The Dodgers have racked up 794 assists, 29 errors and have a tally of 2,494 putouts over the course of the season. In 7,482 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 73.0% (1st in baseball).

In his MLB career, Yamamoto has surrendered 262 hits while he has totaled 406 strikeouts in 367 innings pitched. Yamamoto (28-15 career mark) has earned a 2.62 earned run average while conceding 6.4 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 107 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.991 and having a FIP of 2.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.98 and he has gone up against 1,450 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+106)

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