Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-152) Miami (+126)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (34-31) are en route to LoanDepot Park on Thursday where they will meet the Miami Marlins (31-35). The moneyline on this contest has the Diamondbacks at -152 and the Marlins are sitting at +126. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Merrill Kelly and Tyler Phillips.

Arizona is slugging .390 and have been called out on strikes 482 times, while being walked on 192 occasions. They have earned 272 RBI's and 518 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is .241. The Diamondbacks have earned 114 doubles as a team and have hit 58 balls out of the park. They have 283 runs scored and have an OBP of .305. As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are knocking in 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 15th in baseball.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Diamondbacks have compiled a team ERA of 4.14 this season (17th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 461 hitters. Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed 78 long balls in addition to 293 runs in total (16th in MLB). They have walked 193 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.40 as a team so far this season. Arizona has given up 537 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 265 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.39 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Diamondbacks bullpen have a save rate of 65.4% and stepped onto the hill in 67 save situations. They have accumulated 17 saves this year and have blown 9 of their 26 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 88 base runners so far this season and 23.9% of those runners crossing home plate. Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 61 times and also have had 76 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 211 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have accumulated 40 holds so far this year (9th in baseball).

The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting with 1,727 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 553 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which ranks 4th in the majors, and have a total of 49 double plays. The Diamondbacks have turned 71.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,181 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 6th in baseball.

Kelly has thrown 1,066 innings and has accumulated 948 K's during his career. Kelly (70-57 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.82 and he has gone up against 4,402 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.87 (459 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.214. He has allowed 969 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 325 free passes.

The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .378 and they tally 4.18 runs per outing (20th in the league). They have tallied 102 two-baggers, while walking 225 times and earning 276 runs. Miami has a total of 55 home runs this season and 264 runs batted in. They have struck out on 549 occasions (14th in the league) and have accounted for 527 base hits. The Miami Marlins have an on-base percentage of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .242 on the season.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.257 with a FIP of 3.95 as a pitching staff on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (558 strikeouts against 232 walks). They come in at 6th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 497. They have yielded 62 long balls and they relinquish 4.59 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 296 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.24 (273 earned runs yielded).

With 59 save situations, the Marlins have 33 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 25 save opportunities and they have walked away with 16 saves. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 21.3% out of their 75 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 60 times in high leverage situations and on 51 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 16th in MLB with a save rate of 64.0%, and they have sent 207 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the year.

In their 5,220 innings on the field, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (12th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have turned 46 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in pro baseball). The Marlins have racked up 531 assists, 46 errors and are sitting with 1,740 putouts so far this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Phillips has allowed 147 hits while tallying 116 punch outs in 157 frames. He has allowed a total of 62 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.272 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.19 and he has gone up against 662 batters in his pro baseball career. Phillips (6-3 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.55 earned run average while surrendering 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (-152)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.