Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Monday, July 27, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+106) Pittsburgh (-128)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (55-49) are en route to PNC Park on Monday where they will meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (53-51). The odds on this game have Arizona at +106 while Pittsburgh is coming in at -128. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Merrill Kelly and Bubba Chandler.

The Diamondbacks have compiled 178 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 101 balls out of the stadium. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .394 and have struck out 763 times, while drawing a walk on 344 occasions. As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are knocking in 4.5 runs per contest, which puts them at 14th in baseball. They have earned 447 runs batted in in addition to 839 hits on the season, and their batting average is .242. They have accumulated 469 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .313.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.35 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Diamondbacks pitchers have relinquished 124 home runs and 467 total runs (17th in baseball). Arizona has allowed 885 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 430 earned runs. The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.20 on the campaign (15th in baseball), and they have struck out 704 batters. They have walked 300 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.44 as a team so far this season.

The Diamondbacks relievers have a save percentage of 71.1% and have come into the game in 103 save situations. They have compiled 27 saves over the course of the season and have blown 11 out of their 38 save chances. The relievers have inherited 132 base runners on the season with 25.8% of those players crossing the plate. Diamondbacks relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 90 times and also have had 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 347 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers are sitting with 64 holds on the season (7th in baseball).

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 2,762 putouts for the season, in addition to 925 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which has them sitting 1st in baseball, and they have turned 90 double plays. The Diamondbacks have converted 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,286 innings on the diamond, ranking them 5th in MLB.

Kelly has taken the hill for 1,111 frames and has racked up 976 punch outs thus far in his career. Kelly (73-61 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.84 and he has gone up against 4,594 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.90 (481 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.224. He has given up 1,019 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 341 free passes.

Pittsburgh is sitting with 132 long balls for the season as well as 521 runs batted in. They have 164 doubles, while getting a free base 385 times and recording 545 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have compiled an OBP of .338 in addition to a batting average of .260 on the year. The Pirates have a SLG% of .422 and they average 5.24 runs per outing (2nd in the league). They have struck out on 991 occasions (1st in the league) and have totaled 941 base hits.

The Pirates are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.305 in addition to having a FIP of 3.95 as a pitching staff on the year. They are currently ranked 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 839. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 495 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.23 (437 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio is 9.20 (954 strikeouts against 373 free passes). They have surrendered 108 homers and they surrender 4.80 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league).

Pittsburgh relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.0% out of 129 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 97 times in high leverage situations and on 92 occasions with runners on base. With 87 save situations, the Pirates have earned 47 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They are ranked 28th in MLB with a save rate of 51.3%, and they have sent 331 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 81 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in the majors). The Pirates have accrued 816 assists, 60 errors and have notched a total of 2,787 putouts over the course of the season. In 8,361 innings on the field, the Pirates have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (22nd in baseball).

In his career, Chandler has conceded 109 base hits while he has earned 121 strikeouts in 131 innings. Chandler (7-9 career mark) holds a 4.39 earned run average and has conceded 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 64 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.287 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.02 and he has gone up against 566 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+106)

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