Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+126) Pittsburgh (-152)

PNC Park is the site where the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-52) will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (55-51) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Arizona at +126 and Pittsburgh opens at -152. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Brandon Pfaadt and Bubba Chandler.

As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 4.5 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 13th in the league. They have earned 479 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .314. The Diamondbacks have compiled 183 doubles as a unit and have hit 103 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 457 runs batted in in addition to 854 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is at .242. Arizona has a slugging rate of .395 and have been called out on strikes 767 times, while drawing a walk on 352 occasions.

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The Diamondbacks have an earned run average of 4.27 on the year (19th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 714 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed 129 long balls and 482 total runs (18th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 310 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.50 as a unit on the season. Arizona has allowed 909 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 444 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.30 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.30.

The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 71.1% and stepped onto the hill in 103 save situations. They have accumulated 27 saves for the season and have blown 11 out of their 38 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 135 base runners for the year and 25.2% of those players ended up scoring. Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 92 times in addition to having 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 353 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 64 holds this year (8th in the league).

The Diamondbacks have turned 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,430 innings, ranking them 6th in professional baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 2,810 putouts so far this season, in addition to 934 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding rate is at .990 which ranks 2nd in pro baseball, and have earned 92 double plays.

Pfaadt (32-29 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.97 and he has faced 2,228 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 556 base knocks (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 125 free passes. His earned run average is 5.05 (291 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.312. Pfaadt has thrown 519 innings and is sitting with 471 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

Pittsburgh has hit 135 home runs for the year to go along with 529 runs batted in. They have notched 166 two-baggers, while walking 389 times as well as racking up 553 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a team on-base percentage of .338 as well as a team batting average of .260 on the season. The Pirates hold a slugging % of .422 and they are scoring 5.22 runs per contest (2nd in the league). They have been rung up on 1,006 instances (1st in MLB) and have a total of 957 base hits.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 513 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.32 (455 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 110 homers and they give up 4.88 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.316 and have a FIP of 3.94 as a unit for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (979 strikeouts against 379 free passes). They sit at 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 867.

They rank 28th in MLB holding a save percentage of 52.5%, and they have dispatched 337 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 97 times in high leverage situations in addition to 94 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 88 save situations, the Pirates have 47 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 40 save opportunities and they have come away with 21 saves. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.6% out of their 133 inherited runners.

Out of their 8,523 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (27th in the majors). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 82 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in the majors). The Pirates have 826 assists, 61 errors and have accumulated 2,841 putouts over the course of the season.

During his MLB career, Chandler has allowed 109 hits while he has tallied 121 K's in 131 frames. He has surrendered a total of 64 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.287 and a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.02 and he has faced 566 opposing batters thus far in his career. Chandler (7-9 career win-loss record) holds a 4.39 ERA while surrendering 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-152)

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