Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+132) San Diego (-160)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46) are on their way to Petco Park on Thursday where they will meet the San Diego Padres (45-46). The line on this contest has Arizona at +132 while San Diego is sitting at -160. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Merrill Kelly and Griffin Canning.

The Diamondbacks have hit 154 doubles as a squad and have smacked 82 balls out of the park. Arizona has a slugging rate of .383 and have struck out 659 times, while taking a walk on 286 occasions. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are recording 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in baseball. They have compiled 371 RBI's in addition to 714 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average sits at .236. They have tallied 386 runs scored and have an OBP of .307.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.37 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 111 long balls and 410 runs in total (14th in MLB). Arizona has given up 768 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 378 earned runs. The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.24 over the course of the season (16th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 621 hitters. They have walked 262 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.48 as a team so far this season.

Diamondbacks relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 79 times as well as having 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 49 holds so far this year (16th in MLB). The Diamondbacks bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 69.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 83 save situations. They have earned 23 saves so far this season and have blown 10 of their 33 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 112 base runners for the season with 27.7% of them crossing the plate. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 295 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Diamondbacks have converted 71.3% of balls in play into outs out of 7,224 innings, which has them ranked 6th in baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have amassed 2,408 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 794 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .989 which puts them in 3rd in baseball, and have a total of 75 double plays.

Kelly has taken the ball for 1,094 frames and is sitting with 964 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Kelly (71-61 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.86 while facing 4,530 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.92 (477 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.226. He has given up 1,007 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 335 free passes.

The Padres hold a team SLG% of .371 and they are scoring 3.87 runs per game (30th in the league). They have recorded 133 two-baggers, while taking a walk 300 times and putting up 352 runs. San Diego has a total of 95 home runs so far this season as well as 344 runs batted in. They have struck out on 769 occasions (13th in MLB) and have notched a total of 668 base hits. The San Diego Padres hold an OBP of .300 and a team batting average of .224 so far this season.

The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 399 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.21 (376 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 99 dingers and they give up 4.47 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.338 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.24 as a unit over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (745 strikeouts against 328 free passes). They are currently ranked 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 747.

San Diego relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.6% of 158 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 102 times in high leverage situations and on 92 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 96 save situations, the Padres have compiled 57 holds and also 10 blown saves. They sit at 7th in baseball with a save rate of 73.0%, and they have sent 307 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The San Diego Padres have turned 80 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). The Padres have recorded 799 assists, 33 errors and have amassed 2,411 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 7,233 innings played, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (15th in pro baseball).

During his career, Canning has surrendered 616 hits and he has 603 strikeouts in 635 innings. Canning (33-43 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.82 earned run average while surrendering 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 340 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.360 and a FIP of 4.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.43 and he has faced 2,729 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-160)

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