Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-152) Arizona (+126)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (3-4) are welcoming the Atlanta Braves (5-2) at Chase Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Braves at -152 and the Diamondbacks open at +126. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Martin Perez and Brandon Pfaadt.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 5.9 runs per contest, which puts them at 4th in the league. They have accounted for 41 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .360. The Braves have recorded 11 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 10 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 41 RBI's as well as 66 hits for the year, while their average at the plate is at .281. Atlanta has a slugging % of .464 and have been called out on strikes 49 times, while drawing a walk on 30 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.53 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 0.90. Braves pitchers have relinquished 5 long balls and also 14 runs in total (2nd in MLB). Atlanta has relinquished 42 base knocks (6.0 per 9 innings) as well as 14 earned runs. The Braves have a team earned run average of 2.00 so far this year (2nd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 53 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 15 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.31 as a unit this season.

The Braves have sent 18 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 3 runners so far this season with 33.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The relief pitchers have recorded 2 holds this year (20th in the league). Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 2 times in addition to having 1 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Athletics have 189 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 65 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which puts them in 14th in the majors, and have a total of 8 double plays. The Braves have transformed 76.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 567 innings on the field, which has them ranked 1st in baseball.

Perez has pitched in 1,635 innings and is sitting with 1,156 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.40 (800 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.432. He has allowed 1,752 base hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 590 free passes. Perez (91-93 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.34 and he has faced 7,084 batters in the major leagues.

The Diamondbacks hold a team slugging % of .412 and they are scoring 3.86 runs per game (18th in the league). They have put up 15 doubles, while getting a free base 19 times and scoring 27 runs. Arizona has hit 8 home runs this season as well as 27 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 50 occasions (21st in the league) and have earned 50 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have an on-base percentage of .289 in addition to a team batting average of .226 for the year.

The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.400 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.82 as a squad on the year. They come in at 27th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 59. The Arizona pitching staff have allowed 44 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 5.70 (38 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.40 (49 strikeouts vs 25 free passes). They have given up 9 homers and they allow 6.60 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league).

Their relief pitchers have come in 10 times in high leverage situations in addition to 5 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 12th in the league with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 26 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year.

In their 540 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (16th in professional baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 6 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (16th in baseball). The Diamondbacks have recorded 58 assists, 3 errors and are sitting with 180 putouts during this campaign.

Pfaadt (27-28 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 5.16 ERA while giving up 9.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.05 and he has gone up against 1,972 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up 264 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.308 and a FIP of 5.1. Thus far in his career, Pfaadt has allowed 496 hits and he has 429 strikeouts in 460 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+126)

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