Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/14/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, September 14, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+110) Chicago (-130)

The Chicago Cubs (83-66) will compete against the Atlanta Braves (88-61) at Wrigley Field on Monday. The line on this matchup has Atlanta at +110 and Chicago is coming in at -130. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be AJ Smith-Shawver and David Peterson.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.6 runs per contest, which has them at 8th in the league. They have tallied 689 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .310. The Braves have tallied 238 doubles as a unit and have hit 187 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 659 RBI's and 1,241 hits for the season, while their batting average comes in at .247. Atlanta has a slugging % of .410 and have struck out 1,202 times, while taking a walk on 427 occasions.

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The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 3.56 this season (2nd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,253 hitters. Braves pitchers have yielded 165 home runs in addition to 568 total runs (3rd in baseball). They have walked 496 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.08 as a team on the campaign. Atlanta has yielded 1,145 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 523 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.53 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Braves relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 111 times as well as having 167 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 100 holds on the year (3rd in the league). The Braves relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 70.8% and stepped onto the hill in 170 save situations. They have compiled 46 saves on the campaign and have blown 19 of their 65 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 159 base runners this year with 22.0% of them ended up scoring. The Braves have sent 462 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Braves have converted 71.5% of balls in play into outs out of 11,916 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 4th in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have 3,972 putouts this season, in addition to 1,230 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which is 7th in professional baseball, and have a total of 122 double plays.

Smith-Shawver has thrown 95 innings and has totaled 84 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.64 (49 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.411. He has surrendered 87 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 47 walks. Smith-Shawver (4-4 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.57 and he has gone up against 418 batters in the major leagues.

The Cubs hold a slugging percentage of .431 and they average 5.34 runs per contest (1st in MLB). They have 254 doubles, while getting a free base 625 times and putting up 796 runs. Chicago has knocked in 206 HRs for the season to go along with 752 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,251 instances (13th in the league) and have totaled 1,288 base knocks. The Chicago Cubs hold a team OBP of .340 as well as a team batting average of .252 for the year.

The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 657 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.19 (619 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 223 dingers and they surrender 4.45 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.268 in addition to having a FIP of 4.71 as a team on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 7.80 (1,154 strikeouts against 457 walks). They rank 17th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,229.

They are ranked 26th in baseball holding a save percentage of 55.9%, and they have dispatched 477 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their relievers have taken the field 144 times in high leverage situations and also on 149 occasions with runners on base. With 117 save situations, the Cubs have 51 holds and 26 blown saves. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 59 save chances and they have walked away with 33 saves. Chicago bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.1% of 209 inherited base runners.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 113 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in pro baseball). The Cubs have racked up 1,405 assists, 55 errors and have a tally of 3,990 putouts for the year. In 11,970 innings played, the Cubs have a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (3rd in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Peterson has allowed 659 hits while totaling 668 strikeouts in 685 innings. He has allowed a total of 316 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.386 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.30 and he has faced 2,951 hitters in his pro baseball career. Peterson (41-32 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.15 ERA and has given up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+110)

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