Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/20/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros

Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-132) Houston (+110)

The Atlanta Braves (89-64) are traveling to Daikin Park on Sunday where they will take on the Houston Astros (77-76). The odds on this game have the Braves at -132 while the Astros open at +110. The total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Martin Perez and Hunter Brown.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 4.6 runs per game, which puts them at 8th in the league. They have earned 706 runs and have an OBP of .311. The Braves have accrued 241 doubles as a unit and have smacked 192 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 676 RBI's as well as 1,278 hits on the year, and their batting average sits at .247. Atlanta is slugging .410 and have been called out on strikes 1,238 times, while drawing a walk on 440 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.25. Braves pitchers have yielded 170 long balls and 595 runs in total (4th in the league). Atlanta has conceded 1,188 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) and 549 earned runs. The Braves have an ERA of 3.64 for the year (4th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,274 batters. They have walked 511 opposing players and their FIP is 4.10 as a squad this season.

The Braves have dispatched 472 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 168 base runners so far this year with 21.4% of those players ended up scoring. The bullpen have a total of 101 holds for the season (3rd in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 116 times as well as having 169 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 47 saves on the year and have blown 19 of their 66 save opportunities. The Braves relievers have earned a save rate of 71.2% and stepped onto the hill in 172 save situations.

The Braves have converted 71.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,222 innings, which has them ranked 6th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 4,074 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,268 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which puts them in 5th in baseball, and they have turned 126 double plays.

Perez has thrown 1,768 innings and has 1,253 K's so far in his MLB career. Perez (100-102 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.25 and he has faced 7,645 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.31 (847 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.421. He has surrendered 1,863 base knocks (9.5 hits per 9 innings) with 650 free passes.

The Houston Astros have recorded an on-base percentage of .314 and a batting average of .240 so far this season. They have been rung up on 1,252 occasions (18th in baseball) and have totaled 1,232 hits. Houston has accounted for 206 HRs so far this season as well as 650 runs batted in. The Astros hold a slugging % of .411 and they score 4.45 runs per contest (16th in MLB). They have recorded 226 doubles, while getting a free base 497 times as well as scoring 681 runs.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.343 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.56 as a unit so far this year. They have a ranking of 10th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,205. The Houston pitching staff have given up 731 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.51 (680 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (1,331 strikeouts vs 616 walks). They have conceded 195 homers and they allow 4.85 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball).

With 145 save situations, the Astros have accrued 84 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. Houston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 59 save chances and they have walked away with 48 saves. Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.6% out of their 215 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 156 times in high leverage situations in addition to 144 occasions with base runners. They sit at 1st in the league with a save rate of 81.4%, and they have sent 496 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Houston Astros have turned 119 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in professional baseball). The Astros have recorded 1,129 assists, 68 errors and have a total of 4,070 putouts so far this year. In 12,210 innings on the field, the Astros have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (9th in baseball).

Brown (42-34 mark in his career) has a 3.48 ERA while allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.05 and he has faced 2,592 hitters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 243 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.218 and having a FIP of 3.4. During his career, Brown has surrendered 537 hits while he has earned 695 punch outs in 628 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (+110)

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