Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-160) Miami (+132)

The Miami Marlins (21-25) will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (31-15) at LoanDepot Park on Tuesday. The line on this contest has the Braves at -160 and the Marlins are coming in at +132. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Martin Perez and Braxton Garrett.

The Braves have accrued 80 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 66 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging % of .444 and have been called out on strikes 367 times, while taking a walk on 141 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are knocking in 5.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 2nd in MLB. They have earned 245 RBI's and 426 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate sits at .265. They have notched a total of 250 runs while holding a team OBP of .328.

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The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 2.94 for the season (1st in the league), and the staff has struck out 409 hitters. Braves pitchers have given up 45 home runs in addition to 152 total runs (1st in baseball). They have walked 160 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.81 as a team for the year. Atlanta has allowed 314 hits (6.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 137 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.13.

Braves bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 27 times as well as having 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 27 holds so far this season (10th in the league). The Braves relievers have earned a save rate of 78.9% and have come into the game in 48 save situations. They have compiled 15 saves on the campaign and have blown 4 of 19 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 41 runners over the course of the season and 29.3% of them ended up scoring. The Braves have dispatched 143 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Braves have converted 74.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,771 innings, ranking them 1st in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 1,257 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 383 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which ranks 9th in the majors, and they have turned 33 double plays.

Perez (93-95 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.30 while he has gone up against 7,210 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 1,773 base hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has 601 walks. His ERA is 4.37 (809 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.424. Perez has taken the mound for 1,667 frames and has totaled 1,181 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Marlins hold a team SLG% of .376 and they are earning 4.28 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have put up 74 two-baggers, while taking a walk 156 times and putting up 201 runs. Miami is sitting with 36 long balls this year to go along with 190 RBIs. They have struck out on 377 occasions (20th in the league) and have recorded 386 hits. The Miami Marlins have an on-base percentage of .323 as well as a batting average of .247 on the season.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 214 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.24 (194 earned runs conceded). They have given up 41 home runs and they surrender 4.67 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.291 with a FIP of 3.92 as a unit over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (390 strikeouts vs 178 free passes). They are sitting at 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 354.

With 44 save situations, the Marlins have earned 23 holds and also 8 blown saves. Miami has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 20 save chances and they have recorded 12 saves. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 24.5% of 49 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 42 times in high leverage situations and on 34 occasions with runners on. They sit at 18th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 143 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Miami Marlins have turned 33 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 384 assists, 34 errors and have accumulated 1,238 putouts so far this season. Out of their 3,714 innings on the field, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (13th in the majors).

Garrett (16-20 career record) holds a 4.15 earned run average while surrendering 9.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.71 and he has faced 1,399 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has conceded 151 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.287 and a FIP of 4.1. Thus far in his career, Garrett has surrendered 334 base hits and he has 323 punch outs in 327 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-160)

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