Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+132) Milwaukee (-160)

American Family Field is the site where the Milwaukee Brewers (79-49) will play the Atlanta Braves (75-53) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Atlanta at +132 while Milwaukee is sitting at -160. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Tyler Mahle and Shane Drohan.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.8 runs/g, which has them at 8th in the league. They have notched a total of 608 runs and hold an OBP of .310. The Braves have hit 205 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 167 baseballs out of the park. They have 583 RBI's and 1,066 hits this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .246. Atlanta is slugging .413 and have been called out on strikes 1,038 times, while drawing a walk on 371 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have given up 145 long balls in addition to 496 total runs (6th in the league). Atlanta has yielded 974 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 460 earned runs. The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 3.64 so far this season (5th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,092 hitters. They have walked 437 batters and their FIP sits at 4.10 as a squad on the campaign.

The Braves have sent 408 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 139 runners for the season and 23.0% of those runners crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have recorded 92 holds for the season (3rd in MLB). Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 96 times and also have had 143 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 39 saves on the year and have not converted 17 of their 56 save chances. The Braves bullpen have a save percentage of 69.6% and have come into the game in 152 save situations.

The Braves have converted 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,233 innings, which has them sitting at 4th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have 3,411 putouts this year, in addition to 1,034 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which is 10th in the majors, and have accumulated 104 double plays.

Mahle (40-47 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.94 while he has gone up against 3,191 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 694 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 267 free passes. His ERA is 4.00 (335 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.276. Mahle has taken the mound for 753 innings and has accounted for 772 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated a team OBP of .337 in addition to a batting average of .253 this year. They have struck out on 1,075 instances (16th in baseball) and have totaled 1,095 base knocks. Milwaukee has hit 119 HRs so far this season to go along with 603 RBIs. The Brewers have a team slugging % of .397 and they are earning 5.02 runs per outing (3rd in baseball). They have notched 226 doubles, while getting a free base 535 times as well as putting up 642 runs.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 483 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.46 (440 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 129 dingers and they relinquish 3.80 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.162 in addition to having a FIP of 3.57 as a squad on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.80 (1,245 strikeouts vs 404 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 925.

With 124 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 64 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 59 save chances and they have tallied 41 saves. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 41.4% of 140 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 126 times in high leverage situations and also on 100 occasions with runners on. They rank 9th in MLB with a save rate of 69.5%, and they have sent 389 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

Out of their 10,299 innings on the diamond, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (7th in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 95 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in professional baseball). The Brewers have accrued 995 assists, 56 errors and have amassed 3,433 putouts during this campaign.

Drohan (6-4 career win-loss record) has a 3.87 earned run average and has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 and he has faced 421 batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 43 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.249 and a FIP of 3.8. During his career, Drohan has allowed 92 base hits and he has 99 strikeouts in 100 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+132)

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