Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, June 12, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-128) New York (+106)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (29-37) will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (45-22) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Atlanta at -128 and New York is sitting at +106. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Spencer Strider and Nolan McLean.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 5.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 4th in the league. They have accumulated 349 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .324. The Braves have compiled 107 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 92 balls out of the park. They have tallied 341 RBI's and 586 hits on the year, while their batting average is .257. Atlanta has a slugging % of .431 and have been called out on strikes 522 times, while drawing a walk on 209 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.66 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.17. Braves pitchers have surrendered 69 home runs and 234 total runs (2nd in baseball). Atlanta has allowed 480 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and 214 earned runs. The Braves have an earned run average of 3.22 on the campaign (2nd in the league), and they have rung up 586 batters. They have walked 220 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.87 as a squad for the season.

The Braves relief pitchers have a save rate of 77.8% and stepped onto the hill in 73 save situations. They have 21 saves on the year and have blown 6 of their 27 save chances. The relievers have inherited 59 base runners this season with 27.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. Braves pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 41 times and also have had 66 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 208 relievers to the hill on the season. The bullpen have accumulated 44 holds on the campaign (7th in the league).

The Atlanta Braves have a total of 1,796 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 532 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which puts them in 7th in pro baseball, and they have turned 47 double plays. The Braves have converted 72.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 5,388 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 2nd in professional baseball.

Strider (43-25 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.70 while he has gone up against 2,029 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 395 base knocks (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 179 free passes. His ERA is 3.76 (205 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.169. Strider has taken the mound for 491 innings and has accumulated 669 strikeouts in his career.

New York has knocked in 67 HRs on the year and 252 RBIs. They have hit 83 doubles, while taking a walk 185 times and putting up 265 runs. The New York Mets have tallied an on-base percentage of .293 in addition to a team batting average of .229 over the course of the season. The Mets hold a team slugging % of .365 and they score 4.02 runs per outing (25th in baseball). They have struck out on 539 instances (20th in MLB) and have totaled 505 hits.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 277 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.81 (250 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 58 homers and they relinquish 4.22 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.279 and have a FIP of 3.72 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.10 (601 strikeouts against 241 walks). They come in at 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 515.

New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of 89 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 83 times in high leverage situations in addition to 71 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 45 save situations, the Mets have tallied 26 holds and 9 blown saves. They rank 27th in MLB with a save percentage of 52.6%, and they have dispatched 199 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The New York Mets have turned 37 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in MLB). The Mets have 538 assists, 35 errors and have a tally of 1,775 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 5,325 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (15th in the majors).

During his MLB career, McLean has allowed 87 hits while accumulating 139 K's in 120 frames. He has surrendered 43 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.082 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 and he has gone up against 487 opposing hitters thus far in his career. McLean (8-5 career record) holds a 3.22 ERA while giving up 6.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-128)

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